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re: Cocoa Futures

Posted on 11/21/12 at 3:44 pm to
Posted by OFWHAP
Member since Sep 2007
5416 posts
Posted on 11/21/12 at 3:44 pm to
You'll want to find out what ADM and its competitors do in terms of hedging commodities. You would also want to figure out how much power ADM has in passing on price increases to its customers. Since these companies are in the commodities industry, I have a feeling that they are trying to avoid being blindsided by a rise in cocoa prices. Do you forsee a supply shock that nobody else knows about in cocoa or are you reading the long-term trend in prices?
Posted by MStant1
Houston, TX
Member since Sep 2010
4538 posts
Posted on 11/21/12 at 5:57 pm to
I don't have any unique information or analysis. Topic came up at work one day and I've found a few articles since. Here's what I'm basing my assumptions on:

LINK

I've been just shooting this idea off people since.
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