re: Why LSU won't make it ti the BCS NCG?

Well, injury is always a risk. If Mettenberger goes down in week 4, then obviously the team will struggle very much on offense during his absence.

This is the SEC, after all. There are other good teams, too, so there's always a chance that LSU will lose a big game to, say, Alabama or Arkansas.

I don't know if LSU will make it to the NCG 100%, but they have a team that is capable of taking them there.