re: Jose Bautista O/U 30 Home Runs

I also think you are missing the main theme of moneyball which is finding qualities and traits that a player has that are undervalued by other teams. the reason for this is to get an advantage as a small market team. during the time that the strategy started OBP was actually a stat that was often overlooked. If you want me to go on why it does work during the regular season but rarely works in the postseason just let me know.