re: ESPN College Baseball Regional Projections: May, 17, 2010

In recent years, 40 wins has been the magic number for at-large berths among members of non-power conferences. As we approach the beginning of conference tournament action, several schools are approaching this mark.

• Southeastern Louisiana moved back into first in the Southland over the weekend and is up to 39 wins; that should make the Lions a more secure candidate for an at-large bid than league co-leader Texas State (31-19).

Conference tournament upsets will likely skew that number, but will the burst bubbles come from the smaller conferences? In cases like the Southland, it's likely that either Texas State or Southeastern Louisiana would miss out on the NCAA tournament if they lost in their conference tournaments

So if SLU wins 40 games, they are in, unless they don't win the conference tournament, then they are out. What if both finish with the same regular season record and both have same win loss in the tournament. Seems to me SLU would get the nod.