quote:
We're on the edge. I don't feel good about our chances at all if we lose tomorrow. At some point, it doesn't matter if everyone "knows" we're better than half the other at-large candidates, you have to perform and win.

Bubble: 19 teams for 13 spots minus bid thieves

South Carolina 33-21 (13-17) RPI: #19

Vanderbilt 35-20 (13-17) RPI: #27

LSU: 36-20 (13-17) RPI: #30

Florida 28-26 (13-17) RPI: #24

Louisville: 32-22 (16-14) RPI: #52

Georgia Tech: 31-21 (15-15) RPI: #46

Cincinnati: 31-23 (17-13) RPI: #55

Kansas St: 31-22 (15-15) RPI: #41

UCF: 33-18 (14-15) RPI: #42

TCU: 31-19 (14-16) RPI: #39

Cal: 34-18 (17-13) RPI: #65

Troy: 36-20 (18-12) RPI: #53

James Madison: 32-21 (17-13) RPI: #44

Coastal Carolina: 33-21 (16-14) RPI: #35

Indiana: 30-22-1 (15-9) RPI: #60

Charleston: 39-12 (21-5) RPI: #50

UNCW: 36-19 (20-7) RPI: #47

St John’s: 34-16-1 (14-7) RPI: #63

Xavier: 29-25 (12-9) RPI: #38

A few quick tidbits on the bubble teams:

- LSU has the most Q1/2 wins with 18 (SC and Florida next best with 15).
- LSU and SC are tied for the fewest Q3/4 losses with 2 (Vandy and Florida next with 3.)
- LSU is 3rd in WPct vs Q1/2 at .500. (Cal at 12-10 and Troy at 13-12 are only bubble teams with a winning record vs Q1/2, but both lost 8 Q3/4 games.)
- GT with 9 and Xavier with 8 are only non-SEC bubble teams with more Q1 wins than LSU’s 7, but both are below .500 vs Q1/2 while GT has 6 Q3/4 losses and Xavier has 12.

Is that “not performing”, at least in comparison to the other teams competing for the last spots on the field? If there is mass chaos and a lot of bids stolen, LSU could slip out, but as of now, which 13 teams on that list do you expect the committee to put in ahead of LSU?

This post was edited on 5/21/24 at 8:36 am