re: How the ‘24 election plays out

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He won by a landslide in 2020

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No, he didn't.

He may have won by a tiny sliver of a margin, like he did in 2016.

People who don't pay attention to details think he won big in 2016 because they only look at the EC results.

He didn't.

He only won because Jill Stein syphoned off about twice the 3rd party vote that she usually does from Clinton in three key states. But the Democratic Party stopped any chance of that in 2020 by getting the Green Party kicked off the ballot in two of those states. Trump's margin of victory in the states that swung the 2016 election was smaller than the number of votes Jill Stein got. We're talking about roughly 10,000 votes in Michigan, 44,000 in Pennsylvania, 23,000 in Wisconsin, and 113,000 in Florida.

Fewer than 200,000 votes total.

So he may not have won at all in 2020. If he did it was by another super-slim margin that was small enough to be able to be overcome by dirty tricks.

Those of you who think someone would have been able to manufacture 15 million votes or something ridiculous like that to swing the election are the people I wish stupidity was painful for.