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re: Is Modern Portfolio Theory Dead?
Posted on 3/2/24 at 4:56 pm to gpburdell
Posted on 3/2/24 at 4:56 pm to gpburdell
quote:
Sure if you invested a lump sum 50 years. If you compare the returns of the the last 5, 10, 20 years it would lose to S&P 500
From point A to point B, sure, but that’s not how life often works. I think that’s often overlooked in these threads. Average and median S&P 500 one year returns smoke pretty much every traditional asset, but it doesn’t mean it’s a good idea for money you need in 12 months.
2
Posted on 3/2/24 at 5:02 pm to slackster
You obviously didn’t watch the 20 minute video. Also the S&P 500 lost 1% from 2000 to 2010.
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[/url][/img]This post was edited on 3/2/24 at 5:06 pm
Posted on 3/3/24 at 1:24 am to slackster
quote:
From point A to point B, sure, but that’s not how life often works. I think that’s often overlooked in these threads. Average and median S&P 500 one year returns smoke pretty much every traditional asset, but it doesn’t mean it’s a good idea for money you need in 12 months.
I never said that's realistic but that's what historical returns are based on. Also I was just countering the idea that investing in that specific allocation was better than the S&P 500 today because it outperformed for a past 50 year period.
That allocation hasn't outperformed the S&P 500 for the past 5, 10 year and 20 years going back from today.
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