re: CFB Betting: Week 6

quote:

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Washington State’s offense outpaces the UCLA offense, but the UCLA defense is far superior. Looks like Vegas likes the better D at UCLA.

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I keep seeing this as the line’s justification but just don’t buy it. Their D has benefitted from playing bad teams/O’s + one less game w/ an early bye to skew their ranking.

SD St & Coastal are both dead last in their conferences + they lost to an Utah team that doesn’t have a QB at the moment. (*Utah’s O ranks 128 in total offense right now, and yet they still got in the Red zone multiple times vs UCLA & missed FGs, etc…)… & their 4th game vs a FCS school pads the #s too.

On the flip side, Wash St has blown out 3 much better teams overall and mostly given up yards & points after the games were multi possession leads still late.

They will be lucky if half the stadium is full too for the Noon local kickoff, making “home field adv” a moot point.