re: Can I start getting excited about Cameron Johnson yet?

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Why not just draft him in the slot that pays him a million plus. Why play games with the seniors? Don't they risk losing the rights to him to someone else? They can draft the seniors later

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I'm just making up numbers here, but I'm just using an example to try to help you understand.

Cam Johnson - I will sign for 3.5 mill. If not I'm going to college.

MLB team - we would like to take you in round X, and the slot value there is 1.5 mill. Would you take 1.5 mil?

Cam Johnson - no

MLB team is now not going to risk drafting a player early that they don't feel is worth as much as they are asking. So they draft another prospect that agrees to sign.

MLB team grabs some seniors, with no leverage and save up some money. Mlb team now comes in rounds 11-20 and draft Cam Johnson. At that spot they can draft someone who likely doesn't snif the mlb ever, or get a legit prospect in round 14. They go back to negotiating, and hope that Cam lowers his cost, or you have saved up enough in earlier rounds to meet him closer to what he wants.