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re: ESPN matchup predictor for the remainder of the season…

Posted on 9/29/22 at 10:22 am to
Posted by DrEdgeLSU
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Dec 2006
8191 posts
Posted on 9/29/22 at 10:22 am to
quote:

The match-up predictor is based off ESPN FPI. So, FPI shows LSU at 10-2 on a game by game basis, but has them finishing with 8 wins on the season? I’d be interested to see how they calculate that.


Pretty simple:

A 75% chance of winning gives you a predicted W-L record of 0.75-0.25. Add all of them up and you'll get a different number than 10-2.
Posted by GeauxTigers247
Member since Oct 2019
1563 posts
Posted on 9/29/22 at 10:24 am to
quote:

A 75% chance of winning gives you a predicted W-L record of 0.75-0.25. Add all of them up and you'll get a different number than 10-2.


Gotcha. That makes sense. Thank you.
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