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re: Jobs number blows out expectations - 528k vs 268k expectation, unemployment falls to 3.5%

Posted on 8/5/22 at 4:41 pm to
Posted by Turf Taint
New Orleans
Member since Jun 2021
6010 posts
Posted on 8/5/22 at 4:41 pm to
Getting a strong sense that the Fed is using old paradigms to define the inflation problem.

Stay tuned for the future Harvard whitepaper that will explain why the emerging factors of:

2020-21 Supply chain stop / start
China (world's manufacturer) Covid lock downs into 2022
Great resignation
Virtualization of workplace
Et al

Are out-foxing the Fed's prognostication tools and likely using inflation-mitigation tools that are too blunt.

Hunch
Posted by ned nederlander
Member since Dec 2012
4546 posts
Posted on 8/5/22 at 5:20 pm to
quote:

Getting a strong sense that the Fed is using old paradigms to define the inflation problem.


Just not sure what the fed can do to reopen China and its production. Until then supply will continue to be low and all they can do is reign in the money supply to depress demand.

The supply siders from yesteryear are having a potential moment. Still odd to me biden has not removed the tariffs remaining from Trump.
This post was edited on 8/5/22 at 9:41 pm
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