Started By
Message

re: Lumber prices are set for a shakeup with the rollout of new futures contracts

Posted on 7/25/22 at 4:59 am to
Posted by kew48
Covington Louisiana
Member since Sep 2006
1123 posts
Posted on 7/25/22 at 4:59 am to
This article implies that folks were not trading futures contracts to manage the price risk of buying and selling lumber in the physical market. In commodities there is a financial and physical market. In order to use the financial futures market to manage price risk in the real lumber market, the two prices must converge each months before the close of the futures contract. If this does not happen, there is too much basis risk and you cannot effectively use the futures market to manage risk in the real market. The hope is that with the smaller futures contract, more people will enter the futures market, increase the volume and therefor increase the liquidity and the two will converge ! This will make it much easier and effective for managing price risk in the real lumber market ! If your long physical lumber, go short ( sell) futures contracts- conversely if your short lumber, go long ( buy) futures contracts!
This post was edited on 7/25/22 at 5:04 am
Posted by Abstract Queso Dip
Member since Mar 2021
5878 posts
Posted on 7/25/22 at 7:55 am to
Yadda yadda contango
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
10639 posts
Posted on 7/25/22 at 10:04 am to
quote:

if your short lumber, go long ( buy) futures contracts!



Why?

Without some appreciable increase in demand, I don’t see what the driver would be for any price appreciation and with rates hitting +5% that has to be a damper on future building activity
first pageprev pagePage 1 of 1Next pagelast page
refresh

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitterInstagram