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re: Biden polling at 31%; 19% with Hispanics
Posted on 7/20/22 at 5:53 pm to TheQuestioner
Posted on 7/20/22 at 5:53 pm to TheQuestioner
quote:
Are people reading the same poll I am?
In the same poll, Democrats are getting 45% of the vote and Republicans are getting 44% of the vote in a generic ballot.
Democrats - 45% Republicans - 44%
But polls tend to be off by like 7 points when it comes to Republicans when asked about them in general. They’ll be honest on their feelings about Biden, but it’s still bad to be an open Republican.
1
Posted on 7/20/22 at 5:55 pm to OMLandshark
quote:
But polls tend to be off by like 7 points when it comes to Republicans when asked about them in general. They’ll be honest on their feelings about Biden, but it’s still bad to be an open Republican.
I think what happens is that Trump voters largely don't respond to polls so less Trump-y Republicans end up responding.
But the polls were fairly accurate when Trump was not on the ballot in 2018. It's only when Trump is on the ballot that polling is wrong.
I think Republicans will win by 5-6 points but that's pretty underwhelming considering how high inflation is. If inflation gets under control, I think Democrats can definitely win in 2024.
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