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re: Daily Betting Thread - Thursday, 3/24 - Sweet 16 Edition

Posted on 3/24/22 at 3:07 pm to
Posted by lsufb1912
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2021
5965 posts
Posted on 3/24/22 at 3:07 pm to
quote:

MGM has Houston 3+ point win boosted to +175. You can get Arizona on DK +3.5 for -175.

Hypothetically (if my math and logic are correct), you could bet $40 on Houston on MGM and $70 on Arizona on DK and be guaranteed to break even (payout $110) with any outcome other than Houston win by 3. If Houston wins by 3, you win both bets (payout $220).


You'd be better off taking Houston Win Margin by 1-10 on Fanduel (+210). It sounds to me like you're essentially betting that Houston wins by exactly 3 - not likely. If you take win margin, at least you got 1-3 pts to play with for Arizona to cover +3.5
Posted by The Seaward
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2006
11364 posts
Posted on 3/24/22 at 5:16 pm to
quote:

You'd be better off taking Houston Win Margin by 1-10 on Fanduel (+210). It sounds to me like you're essentially betting that Houston wins by exactly 3 - not likely. If you take win margin, at least you got 1-3 pts to play with for Arizona to cover +3.5


I am betting this on Houston to win by exactly 3, but I am guaranteed to break even with any other outcome. Houston wins by 3, I win both bets. It is a long shot, but a risk free one. Betting Houston 1-10, would lose both bets if Houston wins by 10+.
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