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Possible Upside to Struggles?

Posted on 2/26/17 at 10:18 am
Posted by Crewz
Member since Jun 2014
5093 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 10:18 am
Imagine a world in which it really does take these guys a full camp to work together to figure it out. But after that, they are awesome together. But without that, Jrue struggles for these 25 games.

Is it possible that Jrue's salary demands go way down as a result (20-23 mil range instead of 30-ish) and you get him at that price, but then he plays like he was playing for the last four weeks for the next four years.

Is it likely? I don't know. But possible. Thoughts?
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61438 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 10:21 am to
quote:

Is it possible that Jrue's salary demands go way down as a result (20-23 mil range instead of 30-ish)


That all depends on Philly. They are the only team that can push his value from the low $20s to $30. But yeah, him playing like this for 25 games should certainly make Philly wonder which player they'd be paying $30 million for.
Posted by Hazelnut
Member since May 2011
16431 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 10:22 am to
That kind of reminds me of how the GSW got Curry for relatively cheap. He was injury prone so how price was driven down then he all of a sudden stopped getting hurt after they signed him to a long term deal.

Not that Jrue is Curry in any way, but I see the point you're making and I agree it's possible.
Posted by ShamelessPel
Metairie
Member since Apr 2013
12719 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 10:45 am to
The thought crossed my mind but I kind of figure he has to play unbelievably bad for his value to truly tank. At that point, you're selling the fans, ownership, and the big 2 on a Holiday turnaround. It's also a pretty shitty bet that would be typical of Demps and would blow up in his face just like the rest if the situation you describe plays out. What if you save a few mill and he doesn't show he can be that PG? Sounds pretty Dempsy.

I at least like the Broussard angle of "play him 35-40 a night down the stretch to see if his body holds up". Granted we have to still be in the bleeping race to do that and not look like aholes.
Posted by brmark70816
Atlanta, GA
Member since Feb 2011
9758 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 10:47 am to
Anyone that would pay Holiday near a max is just dumb. The guy have missed at least 10 games a season since he has been here and over 100 the past 4 seasons. The guy is incredibly injury prone. I was shocked that Gordon got as much as he did. But that was during the spending spree this summer. I would expect Holiday to get a similar contract (4y/53M) or maybe a bit more. No way I would go over 15M a year for him though. Plus with the influx of young guards coming in, I don't see where there will be a huge demand for him..
Posted by SizeMatters
VP
Member since May 2011
225 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 10:47 am to
What if they lose every game until the last five. Then those last five it all clicks and destroy whoever they play. But since they lost 20 games in a row we end up keeping our pick. Poor KINGS
Posted by Lilpickles
Member since Nov 2016
1701 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 10:50 am to
Would be nice, but that's a lot of ifs...
Posted by whatiknowsofar
hm?
Member since Nov 2010
20901 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 10:52 am to
In a perfect world that happens and Gentry gets fired.

But you and I both know that Jrue isn't as shitty as he's been. He's closer to the player he was before the all star break. He will get better as the season goes along and Alvin will be able to get one more season which will fricking cause me to get cancer
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
61438 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 10:58 am to
quote:

Anyone that would pay Holiday near a max is just dumb.


Or has cap space to burn. Philly is the big threat to make his price stupid. The other teams with interest can only easily create cap space in the low $20s to go after him. And if you think Holiday is only worth $15 million you're living under the old cap. The deal he's on now, $11 million per, was considered cap friendly because he took a long term deal before the CBA changed and then the CBA changes weren't as bad as people feared. So if 18.9% of the old cap is considered a good deal for Holiday, what's 18.9% of this summer's cap? $19.5 million. If you can get him between $20-$23 like MM said, it's a good deal.

Now whether you want Holiday on your team at all is another question, I know a lot of people here don't like him, but people acting like he's not even worth his cap hold based on an 80% smaller cap are just completely separated from reality of the current NBA economics.
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
115474 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 11:09 am to
Always look on the bright side of life
Posted by Crewz
Member since Jun 2014
5093 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 11:15 am to
My theory is that Philly goes after Lowry and Hill first in this scenario. Maybe even Teague
Posted by brmark70816
Atlanta, GA
Member since Feb 2011
9758 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 11:21 am to
I have heard that about Philly for years and I have never seen them do anything to try and reach the salary floor. They just don't care and aren't really savvy enough to punish other teams that way. When you look at other teams, I don't see a major need at PG. There are 6 PGs projected to go in the top 10 of the draft and the market isn't that bad with vets like Teague, Hill and Rose all being UFA.

Honestly I think we have way overvalued Holiday. He is a decent starting PG (top 15ish). But the injuries have taken a toll and he is sporadic. He is not a leader or a great floor general. I just don't see him getting offered 100+ this summer. People have adjusted to the new cap and should start slotting people better than they did last year. If he gets a contract like someone like Beal, I'd be shocked and it would be a big mistake..
Posted by corndeaux
Member since Sep 2009
9634 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 11:34 am to
Simmons had a trade deadline pod the other day.

a decent discussion on Holiday and his value compared to other PG situations in the league. under the assumption that he gets a big payday, he and the guests had Holiday around 18th. which may be a little low for me, but is not unreasonable.

but the point they brought up (and many have brought up here) is that they arent getting a better player than Holiday w/ that cap space if they let him walk.

now maybe you think they can find a Yogi type off the street who can give you most of what Holiday does (Simmons did). they are all in w/ Cousins+Davis right now. Holiday is getting a huge offer from the Pels b/c letting Holiday walk wont sit well with either player.
Posted by Number 31
St. Tammany
Member since Jul 2016
4178 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 11:45 am to
quote:

Thoughts?

It's makes sense that the same group of players will get better with another entire offseason to develop chemistry.

IMO they're still a quality SG and an upgraded bench away from being a 50 win team.

People here loved to shite on Evans but he and Galloway were precisely the kind of players we've needed the past two games. Evans' ability to score and facilitate off the drive and Gallo's outside shooting are what this team needs in order to click. Not saying it has to be those two players, but their skillsets are what we need in order to be competitive.
Posted by Crewz
Member since Jun 2014
5093 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 11:46 am to
It was a TERRIBLE discussion!!!

He started off by doing a pure rank of PG's, then listed guys like Giannis and Harden as PG's. Then, shifted the goal posts again by saying things like, "I'd rather this guy at 3 mil over Jrue at 20"

I couldn't keep up with what the actual criteria of the ranking was because he just kept changing it. I will keep saying this-- Simmons is fine for entertainment but if you are going to him for information, you will be dumber for it
Posted by corndeaux
Member since Sep 2009
9634 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 11:52 am to
No disagreement from me on Simmons

First time I have listened in a while. Even then it was only b/c of the Holiday discussion and O'Connor was on

I'm on a steady diet of Limited Upside, Lowe Post, Open Floor, some Duncd On (a Coon pod coming soon I think), and now Mahoney's Breakaway
Posted by Crewz
Member since Jun 2014
5093 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 11:54 am to
No 'In the No'????

Haha
Posted by corndeaux
Member since Sep 2009
9634 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 11:57 am to
no offense :i'llseemyselfout:

feel like i get a lot Pels info here and from reading just about everything BSS and TBW put out. plus, given the state of the team the past couple of years, there's sometimes only so much i can listen to about their sorry state.

use the other pods to catch up on league wide stuff
Posted by Crewz
Member since Jun 2014
5093 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 12:02 pm to
I totally get it. This franchise is depressing

But I hate when the national guys talk Pels because they simply don't know so many little things. And I am not dissing them. I don't know all the little details about the Pistons, for instance.
Posted by whatiknowsofar
hm?
Member since Nov 2010
20901 posts
Posted on 2/26/17 at 12:16 pm to
Try listening to local Baton Rouge radio.

When Tbob Hebert knows the most about your team it's a sad state of affairs.
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