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re: #SECBias is the easiest thing to debunk, ever

Posted on 11/19/14 at 3:46 pm to
Posted by Baloo
Formerly MDGeaux
Member since Sep 2003
49645 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 3:46 pm to
quote:

1. You shouldn't have to win the division to go to a 4 team playoff. If you took out Alabama and Miss St. and put the Broncos and Patriots in the SEC West would you still argue the Broncos should be left out because they didn't win their division?

If the NFL has 65 teams, a 10-game schedule against those 65 teams, and a 4-team playoff... yes.

quote:

2. The SEC West is 30-3 vs. the rest of football so you need to factor that in when saying a 5-5 Arkansas team sucks because they're 6th in the west (notice Vegas has them as a top 20 team).

But who did they really beat? Let's reduce it to just Power 5 wins:

Bama - WVU, Fla, Tenn
MSU - Kentucky
OM - Vandy, Tenn, and we'll credit them for Boise
Auburn - K State, South Carolina (loss to UGA)
A&M - South Carolina (loss to Mizzou)
LSU - Wisconsin, Fla, Kentucky
Ark - Tex Tech (loss to UGA)

Out of conference against Power 5 teams (plus a Boise win), the SEC West is 5-0. We're basing SEC dominance, essentially, on five games spread amongst 7 teams. Sure, it's the best conference, but I don't quite think it's the juggernaut it needs to be to justify State's bid.
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
76509 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 3:47 pm to
quote:

If you limited every power 5 conference to only playing within the power 5 conferences you'd quickly be able to establish which conference divisions are the strongest and you'd be much more able to compare a Miss. State to an Ohio State because there'd be a lot of crossover.


This needs to happen. But FCS and non-power 5 teams would suffer. Badly.

They need the rent-a-wins to stay afloat.
Posted by dante
Kingwood, TX
Member since Mar 2006
10669 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 3:50 pm to
quote:

And Miss State doesn't have a marquee win.
Compared to who? But they also have the "best" loss of 1 loss team.

Personally I would like to see the SEC get left out of the play-off altogether. That would be more entertaining on the internet than 2 SEC teams getting in.
Posted by VABuckeye
Naples, FL
Member since Dec 2007
35482 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 3:55 pm to
Compared to Ohio State. They don't have a win that compares in any way to the road win against Sparty.

As to "best" loss? Not sure how to respond. It's still a loss and it had a window dressing touchdown to make it appear better.
Posted by dante
Kingwood, TX
Member since Mar 2006
10669 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 4:00 pm to
quote:

Not sure how to respond. It's still a loss
If you are going to compare "marquee wins" you also have to compare quality losses. Losing to the #1 ranked team on the road is a little different than losing at home to an un-ranked team.
Posted by JB Bama
Tuscaloosa, AL
Member since Sep 2008
2669 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 4:00 pm to
Michigan State isn't a great win. They are a 2 loss team with no marquee win. (LSU would have that same record with that schedule)

Miss State beat an Auburn team that has 3 losses but has wins against Kansas State and Ole Miss.

Ohio State doesn't have a better win than Miss St.

But they certainly have a worse loss.
This post was edited on 11/19/14 at 4:08 pm
Posted by wm72
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2010
7797 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 4:03 pm to
quote:

And Miss State doesn't have a marquee win.


Well, it seems the committee thinks that right now:

LSU Away + Auburn Home + only loss to #1 Alabama Away

is slightly better than

Mich St Away + Minnesota Away + only loss at home to unranked Va Tech


I'm sure that part of what is informing the committee's perception now is:

Auburn and LSU may have more losses than Mich St and Minnesota but they also much better quality wins themselves, which is supposedly the basis for all this anyway.

If Miss St beats Ole Miss Away and Ohio St beats Wisconsin (who lost to LSU) to finish the season I wouldn't imagine the actual resume strength changes that much. Both teams would get one more quality win which would be pretty equal to each other, all things considered.

However, Ohio St would get the plus for being conference champions and that may be enough to compensate for being slightly behind otherwise. That and, right or wrong, simply a nod toward having a more diverse field of teams.

I'm sure it would be close and much debated and I wouldn't really argue too strongly either way.

I also doubt we'll actually get to see since there will likely be 2 or 3 more upsets that change everything we're discussing.


This post was edited on 11/19/14 at 5:07 pm
Posted by Sid in Lakeshore
Member since Oct 2008
41956 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 4:17 pm to
quote:

Do you think that a team that doesn't win it's division deserves a shot at a playoff?


This is an LSU board. Precedent has been set.
Posted by tress4pres
Columbus, OH
Member since Dec 2007
3855 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 6:33 pm to
quote:

Do you think that a team that doesn't win it's division deserves a shot at a playoff?


Absolutely not, especially since they have already played head to head.
Posted by wm72
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2010
7797 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 6:54 pm to
quote:


Absolutely not, especially since they have already played head to head.


I get the argument for only 4 conference champions being included but there's no need to add the head to head taboo.

If you punish teams that lost head-to-head with another playoff team it will not merely often reward a team that lost to a worse foe but, more importantly, discourage out of conference games like LSU v Wisconsin, Oregon v Mich St, Auburn v Kansas St etc etc if the loser may be screwed even if they run the table after that opening game.

I can see the argument for conference champions but the last thing we need is to discourage more big OOC matchups by putting a taboo on possible re-matches in the 4 team field.




Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
76509 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 6:58 pm to
They need to force teams to only schedule P5 teams.

It would end a lot of discussion.
Posted by BrerTiger
Valley of the Long Grey Cloud
Member since Sep 2011
21506 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 7:06 pm to
quote:

Do you think that a team that doesn't win it's division deserves a shot at a playoff?


Sure.

Why do you assume the same division can't contain 2 of the best 4 teams in the entire nation?

Division titles and conference titles are not play-in spots for the playoff. If they are, then it should be so stated. As it is not so stated, you don't need to win your division or conference. You need only argue that you are one of the four best teams in the country.

This isn't complicated.
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
76509 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 7:07 pm to
They put a premium on conference champions when they presented the guideline for the committee.

It would make sense that not even winning the division would also be a sub criteria in some fashion.
Posted by sms151t
Polos, Porsches, Ponies..PROBATION
Member since Aug 2009
139838 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 7:07 pm to
What is it you determine "best"?

Because if you don't win a division you're not the best.
This post was edited on 11/19/14 at 7:08 pm
Posted by wm72
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2010
7797 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 7:14 pm to
quote:

They need to force teams to only schedule P5 teams.


It would certainly be great for fans but as long as Ohio St or Alabama could get 100k fans for a home game against a team made up of More Sports Board posters it's probably a pipe dream.


In the big picture, though, I think the arguments and counter arguments, all the endless hypotheticals, conspiracy theories and "we were simply ripped off's" are actually a bigger part of college football's appeal than we often realize in pining for ever more "objective" ranking systems.

This post was edited on 11/20/14 at 12:37 am
Posted by Chair
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2013
2168 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 9:40 pm to
Soooo, did OSU lose its playoffs against VT??
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
76509 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 9:41 pm to
quote:

Soooo, did OSU lose its playoffs against VT??


I guess we'll find out.
Posted by GeauxTigersLee
Atlanta
Member since Sep 2010
4641 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 9:51 pm to
quote:

Absolutely not, especially since they have already played head to head.
so using your argument, all 4 teams selected can't have played each other during the season...regardless on conference.

Using this logic, we shouldn't have any OOC games.
Posted by ballscaster
Member since Jun 2013
26861 posts
Posted on 11/21/14 at 2:12 pm to
quote:

So you think they are relevant?
I know they are relevant. It is a fact that is not up for debate.
quote:

You think you can determine quality of a team because Team A beat a FCS team by 38 points and Team B beat a MAC team by 21? I mean, who gives a crap either way? Both games were layups and near automatic wins.
Ok.
quote:

How bad you beat a bunch of teams outside the Power 5 is absolutely irrelevant to determining the top 4 teams in the nation.
This is factually incorrect.

Your argument is terrible.
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