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Started By
Message
Final standings are on page 10: Predict the 12/31/2014 market prices.
Posted on 12/31/13 at 5:52 pm
Posted on 12/31/13 at 5:52 pm
Predict where the markets will be one year from now!
To be eligible for the Grand Prize at the end of the year, you must make a prediction in each of the categories below. You can choose to not make a prediction in some of the categories and still be eligible to win the individual categories you do predict but not the overall championship.
Winners in individual categories will be decided by having a prediction with the smallest deviation from the actual 2014 year end prices. The overall winner will be determined by having the smallest average deviation from actual prices for all the categories below.
All predictions must be posted by 8:00 PM, January 12, 2014 and no edits to predictions after that date are allowed.
ETA: We will use the market data provided by the CNBC website for our prices.
The prediction categories and their 12/31/13 values are:
DowJones 30 Average: 16,576.66
S&P 500 Index: 1,848.36
NASDAQ: 4,176.59
Japan Nikkei Index: 16,291.31
Apple Computer (AAPL): $561.02
Euro/$: $1.3756
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.036%
30 YR Bond Yield: 3.976%
Gold/Oz: $1,205.20
Silver/Oz: $19.52
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $98.62
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.248
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.7896
I'll be making my predictions in a follow-up post.
Good luck everyone!
To be eligible for the Grand Prize at the end of the year, you must make a prediction in each of the categories below. You can choose to not make a prediction in some of the categories and still be eligible to win the individual categories you do predict but not the overall championship.
Winners in individual categories will be decided by having a prediction with the smallest deviation from the actual 2014 year end prices. The overall winner will be determined by having the smallest average deviation from actual prices for all the categories below.
All predictions must be posted by 8:00 PM, January 12, 2014 and no edits to predictions after that date are allowed.
ETA: We will use the market data provided by the CNBC website for our prices.
The prediction categories and their 12/31/13 values are:
DowJones 30 Average: 16,576.66
S&P 500 Index: 1,848.36
NASDAQ: 4,176.59
Japan Nikkei Index: 16,291.31
Apple Computer (AAPL): $561.02
Euro/$: $1.3756
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.036%
30 YR Bond Yield: 3.976%
Gold/Oz: $1,205.20
Silver/Oz: $19.52
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $98.62
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.248
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.7896
I'll be making my predictions in a follow-up post.
Good luck everyone!
This post was edited on 12/31/14 at 6:08 pm
38
Posted on 12/31/13 at 7:46 pm to LSURussian
Posted on 12/31/13 at 11:07 pm to LSURussian
DowJones 30 Average: 17,200
S&P 500 Index: 1980
NASDAQ: 4,400
Japan Nikkei Index: 19,000
Apple Computer (AAPL): $650
Euro/$: $1.45
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.3%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.5%
Gold/Oz: $1,150
Silver/Oz: $19.50
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $80
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.78
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.50
S&P 500 Index: 1980
NASDAQ: 4,400
Japan Nikkei Index: 19,000
Apple Computer (AAPL): $650
Euro/$: $1.45
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.3%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.5%
Gold/Oz: $1,150
Silver/Oz: $19.50
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $80
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.78
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.50
Posted on 1/1/14 at 9:06 am to LSURussian
DowJones 30 Average: 17,135.50
S&P 500 Index: 1,910.23
NASDAQ: 4,323.12
Japan Nikkei Index: 18,000.00
Apple Computer (AAPL): $450.66
Euro/$: $1.25
10 YR Bond Yield: 2.875%
30 YR Bond Yield: 3.875%
Gold/Oz: $1,300.00
Silver/Oz: $23.16
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $100.00
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.73
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $3.02
Lot of shots in the dark here. Feel like Apple is going to regress a bit. Metals make a slight comeback after being all over the map the entire year. Overall up year but not like this past year.
S&P 500 Index: 1,910.23
NASDAQ: 4,323.12
Japan Nikkei Index: 18,000.00
Apple Computer (AAPL): $450.66
Euro/$: $1.25
10 YR Bond Yield: 2.875%
30 YR Bond Yield: 3.875%
Gold/Oz: $1,300.00
Silver/Oz: $23.16
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $100.00
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.73
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $3.02
Lot of shots in the dark here. Feel like Apple is going to regress a bit. Metals make a slight comeback after being all over the map the entire year. Overall up year but not like this past year.
Posted on 1/1/14 at 10:17 am to LSURussian
DowJones 30 Average: 17,500
S&P 500 Index: 2,000
NASDAQ: 4,500
Japan Nikkei Index: 17,000
Apple Computer (AAPL): $600.00
Euro/$: $1.00
10 YR Bond Yield: 2.036%
30 YR Bond Yield: 2.976%
Gold/Oz: $1,000
Silver/Oz: $15.00
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $100.00
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $7.00
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.75
these are all just wild arse guesses but what the hell
S&P 500 Index: 2,000
NASDAQ: 4,500
Japan Nikkei Index: 17,000
Apple Computer (AAPL): $600.00
Euro/$: $1.00
10 YR Bond Yield: 2.036%
30 YR Bond Yield: 2.976%
Gold/Oz: $1,000
Silver/Oz: $15.00
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $100.00
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $7.00
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.75
these are all just wild arse guesses but what the hell
This post was edited on 1/1/14 at 10:51 am
Posted on 1/1/14 at 10:24 am to LSURussian
DowJones 30 Average: 15,850
S&P 500 Index: 1,785
NASDAQ: 4,000
Japan Nikkei Index: 15,200
Apple Computer (AAPL): $550
Euro/$: $1.4100
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.3%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.5%
Gold/Oz: $1,450
Silver/Oz: $26.50
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $108.00
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $3.90
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $3.30
S&P 500 Index: 1,785
NASDAQ: 4,000
Japan Nikkei Index: 15,200
Apple Computer (AAPL): $550
Euro/$: $1.4100
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.3%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.5%
Gold/Oz: $1,450
Silver/Oz: $26.50
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $108.00
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $3.90
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $3.30
Posted on 1/1/14 at 10:56 am to LSURussian
DowJones 30 Average: 18904.39
S&P 500 Index: 2650.71
NASDAQ: 4,704.16
Japan Nikkei Index: 16,720.57
Apple Computer (AAPL): $642.99
Euro/$: $1.3457
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.482%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.295%
Gold/Oz: $1,1101.50
Silver/Oz: $18.94
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $94.80
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.478
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.6295
S&P 500 Index: 2650.71
NASDAQ: 4,704.16
Japan Nikkei Index: 16,720.57
Apple Computer (AAPL): $642.99
Euro/$: $1.3457
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.482%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.295%
Gold/Oz: $1,1101.50
Silver/Oz: $18.94
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $94.80
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.478
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.6295
Posted on 1/2/14 at 9:35 am to LSURussian
DowJones 30 Average: 14,560.63
S&P 500 Index: 1,615.80
NASDAQ: 3,516.19
Japan Nikkei Index: 15,100.31
Apple Computer (AAPL): $502.02
Euro/$: $1.205
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.5%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.2%
Gold/Oz: $1,450.20
Silver/Oz: $25.52
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $90.62
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.52
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $3.02
S&P 500 Index: 1,615.80
NASDAQ: 3,516.19
Japan Nikkei Index: 15,100.31
Apple Computer (AAPL): $502.02
Euro/$: $1.205
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.5%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.2%
Gold/Oz: $1,450.20
Silver/Oz: $25.52
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $90.62
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.52
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $3.02
Posted on 1/2/14 at 1:15 pm to LSURussian
DowJones 30 Average: 17,467.13
S&P 500 Index: 2,106.77
NASDAQ: 4,371.42
Japan Nikkei Index: 17,899.19
Apple Computer (AAPL): $525.89
Euro/$: $1.47
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.053%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.157%
Gold/Oz: $1,274.18
Silver/Oz: $25.37
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $95.15
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.45
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.65
S&P 500 Index: 2,106.77
NASDAQ: 4,371.42
Japan Nikkei Index: 17,899.19
Apple Computer (AAPL): $525.89
Euro/$: $1.47
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.053%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.157%
Gold/Oz: $1,274.18
Silver/Oz: $25.37
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $95.15
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.45
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.65
Posted on 1/2/14 at 2:27 pm to LSURussian
DowJones 30 Average: 18,500
S&P 500 Index: 2,050
NASDAQ: 4,500
Japan Nikkei Index: 16,000
Apple Computer (AAPL): $500
Euro/$: $1.10
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.7%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.2%
Gold/Oz: $1,400.20
Silver/Oz: $24
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $68
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.75
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.30
S&P 500 Index: 2,050
NASDAQ: 4,500
Japan Nikkei Index: 16,000
Apple Computer (AAPL): $500
Euro/$: $1.10
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.7%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.2%
Gold/Oz: $1,400.20
Silver/Oz: $24
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $68
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.75
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.30
Posted on 1/2/14 at 5:04 pm to LSURussian
Thanks for running this annual contest. My guesses are:
Dow Jones 30 Average: 18,250
S&P 500 Index: 2030
NASDAQ: 4600
Japan Nikkei Index: 17000
Apple Computer (AAPL): $575
Euro/$: $1.25
10 YR Bond Yield: 4.0%
30 YR Bond Yield: 5.1%
Gold/Oz: $1,150
Silver/Oz: $18.50
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $95.00
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.50
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.65
Edited to changed Nikkei from 1700 to 17000.
Dow Jones 30 Average: 18,250
S&P 500 Index: 2030
NASDAQ: 4600
Japan Nikkei Index: 17000
Apple Computer (AAPL): $575
Euro/$: $1.25
10 YR Bond Yield: 4.0%
30 YR Bond Yield: 5.1%
Gold/Oz: $1,150
Silver/Oz: $18.50
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $95.00
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.50
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.65
Edited to changed Nikkei from 1700 to 17000.
This post was edited on 1/6/14 at 5:33 pm
Posted on 1/2/14 at 5:18 pm to LSURussian
DowJones 30 Average: 17,999
S&P 500 Index: 2,020
NASDAQ: 4,641
Japan Nikkei Index: 17,081
Apple Computer (AAPL): $505
Euro/$: $1.32
10 YR Bond Yield: 2.92%
30 YR Bond Yield: 3.88%
Gold/Oz: $999
Silver/Oz: $17.95
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $91
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $3.99
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.95
You forgot the biggie, though.
Bitcoin: $1,293,482,661,205.16
S&P 500 Index: 2,020
NASDAQ: 4,641
Japan Nikkei Index: 17,081
Apple Computer (AAPL): $505
Euro/$: $1.32
10 YR Bond Yield: 2.92%
30 YR Bond Yield: 3.88%
Gold/Oz: $999
Silver/Oz: $17.95
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $91
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $3.99
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.95
You forgot the biggie, though.
Bitcoin: $1,293,482,661,205.16
Posted on 1/3/14 at 4:06 am to LSURussian
DowJones 30 Average: 15,866.62
S&P 500 Index: 2002.22
NASDAQ: 4,334.98
Japan Nikkei Index: 17,666
Apple Computer (AAPL): $675
Euro/$: $1.2981
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.236%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.036%
Gold/Oz: $1,450.52
Silver/Oz: $22.46
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $101.99
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.623
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $3.0987
S&P 500 Index: 2002.22
NASDAQ: 4,334.98
Japan Nikkei Index: 17,666
Apple Computer (AAPL): $675
Euro/$: $1.2981
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.236%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.036%
Gold/Oz: $1,450.52
Silver/Oz: $22.46
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $101.99
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.623
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $3.0987
Posted on 1/3/14 at 7:58 am to LSURussian
DowJones30average-17850
S&P500index-2010
NASDAQ-4830
Japan Nikkeiindex-16,150
AAPL-600
Euro/$1.35
10yrbondyield-3.2%
30yrbon-4.0%
Gold-$1100
Silver-$18.5
Oil/barrel-100
Natural gas-$4.4
Wholesale gasoline-$2.80
S&P500index-2010
NASDAQ-4830
Japan Nikkeiindex-16,150
AAPL-600
Euro/$1.35
10yrbondyield-3.2%
30yrbon-4.0%
Gold-$1100
Silver-$18.5
Oil/barrel-100
Natural gas-$4.4
Wholesale gasoline-$2.80
Posted on 1/4/14 at 2:57 pm to LSURussian
Update:
I've started inputting everyone's predictions into an Excel spreadsheet. If anyone changes any of your predictions before the 1/12/14 deadline, please make a separate post letting me know you've made an edit to your original predictions and I'll go back to your prediction post and make the edit on my spreadsheet.
Otherwise I might overlook your edit.
Thanks!
I've started inputting everyone's predictions into an Excel spreadsheet. If anyone changes any of your predictions before the 1/12/14 deadline, please make a separate post letting me know you've made an edit to your original predictions and I'll go back to your prediction post and make the edit on my spreadsheet.
Otherwise I might overlook your edit.
Thanks!
Posted on 1/4/14 at 11:09 pm to LSURussian
DowJones 30 Average: 18,201.52
S&P 500 Index: 1,908.63
NASDAQ: 4,250.19
Japan Nikkei Index: 17,391.31
Apple Computer (AAPL): $600.00
Euro/$: $1.3256
10 YR Bond Yield: 4.036%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.976%
Gold/Oz: $1,405.20
Silver/Oz: $21.52
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $95.72
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.448
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.9852
S&P 500 Index: 1,908.63
NASDAQ: 4,250.19
Japan Nikkei Index: 17,391.31
Apple Computer (AAPL): $600.00
Euro/$: $1.3256
10 YR Bond Yield: 4.036%
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.976%
Gold/Oz: $1,405.20
Silver/Oz: $21.52
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $95.72
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.448
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.9852
Posted on 1/5/14 at 11:35 am to LSURussian
quote:
DowJones 30 Average: 16,488.02
S&P 500 Index: 1,804.15
NASDAQ: 4,155.88
Japan Nikkei Index: 16,207.71
Apple Computer (AAPL): $513.75
Euro/$: $1.32
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.00%
30 YR Bond Yield: 3.93%
Gold/Oz: $1,235.26
Silver/Oz: $21.15
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $95.66
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.987
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.89
Posted on 1/5/14 at 1:20 pm to LSURussian
DowJones 30 Average: 15,875.75
S&P 500 Index: 1,775.75
NASDAQ: 4,255.55
Japan Nikkei Index: 17,058.55
Apple Computer (AAPL):$555.75
Euro/$:$1.1176
10 YR Bond Yield:3.750%
30 YR Bond Yield:4.005%
Gold/Oz:$1,175.25
Silver/Oz: $19.75
Oil/barrel (WTI crude):$105.78
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft:$5.325
Wholesale Gasoline/gal:$3.2597
S&P 500 Index: 1,775.75
NASDAQ: 4,255.55
Japan Nikkei Index: 17,058.55
Apple Computer (AAPL):$555.75
Euro/$:$1.1176
10 YR Bond Yield:3.750%
30 YR Bond Yield:4.005%
Gold/Oz:$1,175.25
Silver/Oz: $19.75
Oil/barrel (WTI crude):$105.78
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft:$5.325
Wholesale Gasoline/gal:$3.2597
Posted on 1/5/14 at 4:59 pm to LSURussian
Btc: moon. Seriously though, ride4wiki.
Posted on 1/6/14 at 9:09 am to LSURussian
Dow Jones Industrials 18,399
S&P 500 2,070
Nasdaq 4,719
Nikkei 16,943
AAPL 662
EUR/USD 1.43
10 year bond 3.55
30 year bond 4.53
Gold 1,109
Silver 21.86
Oil 112.43
Natural gas 4.72
Wholesale gasoline 3.45
S&P 500 2,070
Nasdaq 4,719
Nikkei 16,943
AAPL 662
EUR/USD 1.43
10 year bond 3.55
30 year bond 4.53
Gold 1,109
Silver 21.86
Oil 112.43
Natural gas 4.72
Wholesale gasoline 3.45
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