- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: We Probably Dodged a Nuclear Disaster with Herman
Posted on 12/19/16 at 2:44 pm to Geauxst Writer
Posted on 12/19/16 at 2:44 pm to Geauxst Writer
Anyone who believes they know how a coach will turn out with any certainty beforehand is likely suffering from the common bias of overconfidence. After the fact, hindsight bias will explain away any errors.
When have you seen a talking head or rant poster keep a list of all their predictions and constantly update the results of these predictions? They don't. I would hate to see the results of these type of predictions (including mine). People would be surprised about the error rate. Also, many predictions are generalizations that make scoring difficult and explanations of errors easier.
When have you seen a talking head or rant poster keep a list of all their predictions and constantly update the results of these predictions? They don't. I would hate to see the results of these type of predictions (including mine). People would be surprised about the error rate. Also, many predictions are generalizations that make scoring difficult and explanations of errors easier.
Posted on 12/19/16 at 3:02 pm to SammyTiger
quote:
did any of those 5 AAC Coaches finish ahead of him last year?
Beat Petrino Fisher or Stoops?
Any of them wen 13 games in a season?
No, but Temple who also finished 7-1 in the AAC last year and lost to Houston in the conference championship game lost 4 games. Navy finished with the same record losing to Houston.
Those teams didn't lose 38-16 to SMU either. Herman did damn good his first year with another staff's players. Not so well his second year when the team was becoming his.
There is NO excuse for losing to SMU who had gone 1-7 and 2-10 overall the year before and had a losing record this year. I think Herman would have done even worse next year at Houston - besides finishing 4-3 in his last 7 this year. He's lucky to be able to move on and take over a team that has had top 10 recruiting classes the last two years. He may need to change teams every two to three years to stay employed.
Posted on 12/19/16 at 3:06 pm to Tiger Ree
quote:
So it would be okay to compare Herman to 6 (six) coaches in the American conference?
Sure. You can compare his win loss record against theirs, check out s.o.s., time spent at each university, improvement of program while at each university, number of quality wins, number of losses when favorite.
What you can't do (to make a fair evaluation) is take this:
quote:
The five that finished ahead of him (including 2 that beat his team) and the 6th that had a losing record and still kicked Herman's butt 38-16, while holding the offensive genius to 303 total yards?
And assume a coach's entire ability rests in a single season of losses alone.
quote:
All while Houston had the most talented team in the conference? Would that be an equitable comparison?
Houston also had a ton of injuries during the season including their star QB.
Ree, I don't expect you to understand anything i wrote just now. Your hate for Herman is well known and you've made a fool of yourself so many times on this board trying to hate on him that no one takes anything you say seriously.
I was having a conversation with geauxst. You just decided to chime in with more of your three talking points.
You don't want a conversation about Herman, Ree. You just want to yell all your points at people. No one gives a shite. We heard them all already, and have all acknowledged that they are concerning. Go away now and let people who actually want to converse do so.
Save your Herman agenda for another one of your shitty anti-herman threads based off one subsection of one season of stats on him.
Posted on 12/19/16 at 3:09 pm to Tiger Tracker
quote:
improvement of program while at each university, number of quality wins, number of losses when favorite.
these two stats would favor the other coaches. Especially the first year coaches who beat or played Herman close this year. Herman's 2nd year was worse than his first. Why?
Posted on 12/19/16 at 3:11 pm to Tiger Tracker
quote:
And assume a coach's entire ability rests in a single season of losses alone.
The guy has only been a head coach for two years. He did worse his second year. What is his entire ability after two seasons?
Posted on 12/19/16 at 3:16 pm to Tiger Tracker
quote:
You don't want a conversation about Herman,
Would welcome one. Why did he lose three of his last seven games this season? Why did he do so great his first year and wind up in 6th place in his conference this year? I love conversations about Herman and what he has accomplished/failed at in his two year career as Houston's head coach.
quote:
Go away now and let people who actually want to converse do so.
Whatever, if I didn't want to converse I wouldn't be laying out FACTS about Herman, fricking Houston and the AAC. You think I care about any of the above three items besides dodging a bullet not hiring the 6th place finishing coach in the AAC.
Posted on 12/19/16 at 3:29 pm to Tiger Ree
quote:
I think Herman would have done even worse next year at Houston - besides finishing 4-3 in his last 7 this year.
I think you ar really wrong.
He was recruitng better than the guy before him, and his biggest problem wasn't players or coaching, but the fact that his team had to deal with external bullshite like not getting into the Bug 12 and knowing their coach was leaving next year.
Also the fact that their coach actually left them before the bowl game.
If he took over another's staff awesome team I woudl say maybe it was someone else's players. But he took over a mid-major 8-5 team and beat FSU in his first year. That takes fricking coaching skills.
Posted on 12/19/16 at 3:33 pm to Tiger Ree
So i was, originally, comparing herman to O in risk factor as HC. I said Herman is a more accomplished HC than O. So by your logic every AAC coach above Herman should have been hired before O, right? Or would you like to get back to my original post you interjected in and tell me why O is a more proven HC than Herman at this point?
No you wouldn't because you ask the same tired questions over and over and they have been answered. Hell i answered part of it in my reply to you, but you're to blind with herman hatred to read it. Injuries. Injuries played a part in some of those losses. Others are concerning no excuse.
So no you don't want a conversation you want to take cherry picked stats and use them to further your agenda. That's all you're doing.
Have a good day Ree. It's been a pleasure listening to you on repeat once again. Hope the rest of the readers get a good laugh at your posts once again. You know, the ones who made all the excuses after herman lost to Louisville...oh wai...that whole hate thread you made blew up in your face didn't it?? What a shame. Carry on.
quote:
Would welcome one
No you wouldn't because you ask the same tired questions over and over and they have been answered. Hell i answered part of it in my reply to you, but you're to blind with herman hatred to read it. Injuries. Injuries played a part in some of those losses. Others are concerning no excuse.
So no you don't want a conversation you want to take cherry picked stats and use them to further your agenda. That's all you're doing.
Have a good day Ree. It's been a pleasure listening to you on repeat once again. Hope the rest of the readers get a good laugh at your posts once again. You know, the ones who made all the excuses after herman lost to Louisville...oh wai...that whole hate thread you made blew up in your face didn't it?? What a shame. Carry on.
Posted on 12/19/16 at 3:38 pm to SammyTiger
quote:
external bullshite like not getting into the Bug 12 and knowing their coach was leaving next year.
Yeah, that's tough. Were they in the Bug 12 last year or the year before? Good thing LSU didn't have to deal with something like rumors of a coaching change or not knowing who the coach would be next year. They would have probably laid down and not won another game.
I was wrong, Herman finishing 4-3 in his last 7 games was an amazing feat. Losing to SMU 38-16 while gaining 303 total yards wasn't as bad as it seemed at the time. It was the rumors fault.
I just can't figure out how they came back from 28 down to beat UCF who was winless the prior year and beat Louisville if they had given up on the rest of the games after the rumors started. Amazing job !!!
Posted on 12/19/16 at 3:41 pm to Tiger Ree
quote:
Good thing LSU didn't have to deal with something like rumors of a coaching change or not knowing who the coach would be next year.
we did
and we lost 4 games.
but even though, your coach getting fired/almsot fired is more likely to make you play harder.
Your coaching bailing on you is more likely to make you not want to play for the SOB.
Like if your father died, you probably would feel different than if he ran out on you.
This post was edited on 12/19/16 at 3:43 pm
Posted on 12/19/16 at 3:49 pm to Tiger Tracker
quote:
Or would you like to get back to my original post you interjected in and tell me why O is a more proven HC than Herman at this point?
How about 5-2 in the last 7 games at LSU this season with one loss being to the consensus #1 team in the country while Herman was 4-3 in his last 7 losing to Navy, SMU and Memphis.
quote:
You know, the ones who made all the excuses after herman lost to Louisville
I was the one on the 2nd page of that thread that said the upset could happen. The Hermanette's were freaking out because UL was favored. I pointed out that Herman was a 23 point favorite against SMU and got blown out only scoring 2 points in the 4th quarter. I called that upset and did not make any excuses, but it did raise questions to how he could lose to Navy and SMU and then beat a team like Louisville. Memphis hadn't happened yet. I correctly picked the Memphis game in the thread you are referencing.
I was wrong in thinking Herman would finish 3-4. He surprised the shite out of me and finished 4-3 and wound up 6th in the AAC. Did a hell of a lot better than I thought he would. Coo-dos' to him. He was a hell of a coach (in the AAC last year).
Posted on 12/19/16 at 3:51 pm to SammyTiger
quote:
ike if your father died, you probably would feel different than if he ran out on you.
Jesus dude, I have seen Herman homers, hell, Tiger Tracker is the biggest Herman cheerleader to walk the face of the earth. Including Herman's wife, but that shite you just posted is ridiculous.
Posted on 12/19/16 at 3:55 pm to Tiger Ree
quote:
Jesus dude, I have seen Herman homers, hell, Tiger Tracker is the biggest Herman cheerleader to walk the face of the earth. Including Herman's wife, but that shite you just posted is ridiculous.
i guess analogies are a little past your level.
Are you gonna disappear like punk if Texas is good next your, like you did after Houston beat Louisville?
shite what is beloved Coach O doesn't beat them? Are you gonna disappear till Texas loses a game?
This post was edited on 12/19/16 at 3:58 pm
Posted on 12/19/16 at 4:06 pm to SammyTiger
quote:
Are you gonna disappear like punk if Texas is good next your, like you did after Houston beat Louisville?
shite what is beloved Coach O doesn't beat them? Are you gonna disappear till Texas loses a game?
I have been on this board a couple more years than you have and follow college football. Of course, I will be here when Herman falls flat on his face after Charlie's players are gone.
You don't like coach O and the staff and recruiting class he is putting together?
Posted on 12/19/16 at 4:06 pm to Tiger Ree
quote:
How about 5-2 in the last 7 games at LSU
Nice cherry picking again. Tell me about O's QUALITY wins during his entire time as HC. Name all of the teams he beat where his team was not a favorite to win and they blew the other team out. That's what i asked the OP. 5 years of HC experience, including interim, and you choose 7 games.
Nah, you don't cherry pick stats at all.
I'm not saying O will fail, btw. I think he has made some great hires and all things considered delivered on keeping the continuity he promised.
Im simply saying when you compare what O had accomplished up until the hire vs what Herman had Herman's record was quite a bit more impressive than O's in every aspect.
You point to Herman's losses, but O had much worse at Ole Miss. Since then he hasn't really had many if any signature wins as interim coach either. Maybe he is the next Dabo, who knows. Maybe Herman is the next Meyer. I don't know if either is true yet.
Speculate all you want on how Herman will be a failure or sub par coach at the next level. Nothing is proven so i cant say you're right or wrong without knowing the future. However, for the 100th time, I asked the OP to show me how O has proven more as HC than Herman over their entire careers. Neither you or the OP answer that question.
I hope O succeeds, but let's not pretend like tom herman is a worse/more risky hire than O given their resumes. You pick questions, quotes, stats, anf responses to fit your agenda. You're not truly evaluating Herman like i asked. Again you're not here for a conversation you want to push your agenda.
Posted on 12/19/16 at 4:15 pm to Tiger Ree
quote:
I have been on this board a couple more years than you have and follow college football
You disappeared from the Lousiville game till we hired O.
quote:
Of course, I will be here when Herman falls flat on his face after Charlie's players are gone.
If he can win with Charlie Strong's players at all that already an accomplishment considering Charlie strong was 5-7 for 2 years with them.
quote:
You don't like coach O and the staff and recruiting class he is putting together?
I will give him credit for keeping the class that we had together. And I will give him credit for retaining Aranda and hiring Canada. But he needs to actually go get some big time recruits instead of just getting the ones we had committed to stay/recommit.
Its just fricking dumb to day Herman looks like a nuclear disaster because his team lost a bowl game he didn't coach.
Posted on 12/19/16 at 4:19 pm to Tiger Tracker
quote:
Im simply saying when you compare what O had accomplished up until the hire vs what Herman had Herman's record was quite a bit more impressive than O's in every aspect.
Okay, let's take this year for example. Herman finished 4-3 losing to Navy, SMU and memphis. He finished 6th in his conference.
CEO was 5-2 in that same span with one of his losses (aided by Bama refs) being to the #1 team in the country. Let's see 5-2 with one loss to Bama or 6th place in the AAC. Hell, that's a tough decision, I think I'll go with the guy who lost to the #1 team in the country.
quote:
You point to Herman's losses, but O had much worse at Ole Miss
When was that again? Was it this year? Would CEO have beat SMU even if he was at Ole Miss 10 years ago?
quote:
Speculate all you want on how Herman will be a failure or sub par coach at the next level. Nothing is proven so i cant say you're right or wrong without knowing the future. However, for the 100th time, I asked the OP to show me how O has proven more as HC than Herman over their entire careers. Neither you or the OP answer that question.
CEO has taken two teams who fired their head coaches and done better the the fired HC. Herman took over a winning team and done worse in his second year than he did the first with the previous staff's program. CEO took over LSU and lost to the #1 team in the country. Herman lost to SMU among others.
quote:
Maybe Herman is the next Meyer
As soon as he gained 303 total yards and lost to SMU I was thinking the same thing. It is obvious the guy is the next Saban, Meyer and Belichick rolled into one person.
Posted on 12/19/16 at 4:27 pm to Tiger Ree
quote:
Tiger Ree
Just pick up the pieces and move on. You're looking incredibly dumb at this point.
P.s. Thanks for posting all those quality wins of O's like I have been asking for since you interjected yourself in to my conversation.
Posted on 12/19/16 at 4:28 pm to SammyTiger
quote:
You disappeared from the Lousiville game till we hired O.
I posted the night of and the morning after the Louisville game. I went to Louisiana for Thanksgiving Friday - the day after the game. I was also not on here right after Memphis beat Herman.
quote:
If he can win with Charlie Strong's players at all that already an accomplishment considering Charlie strong was 5-7 for 2 years with them.
Even UT fans realize Strong was a process in work. Go to the UT 24/7 board and read up on it. A lot of the posts are readable even if you don't have a subscription. They are freaking out about the rejection Herman has faced at Texas.
quote:
But he needs to actually go get some big time recruits instead of just getting the ones we had committed to stay/recommit.
Yeah, he has the #5 class in the country and will have some big recruits to finish. Don't worry - but Herman would not be doing the same as CEO on the recruiting trail at LSU. Hell he can't do it in Texas even though he coached there the last two years and was anointed the next GREAT coach.
quote:
ts just fricking dumb to day Herman looks like a nuclear disaster because his team lost a bowl game he didn't coach.
Losing to SMU 38-16 while gaining 303 total yards on offense is like LSU being shutout by Vanderbilt 40-0. Disaster, I don't know, but I wouldn't want the guy coaching the LSU program.
Posted on 12/19/16 at 4:32 pm to Tiger Tracker
quote:
Just pick up the pieces and move on. You're looking incredibly dumb at this point.
What, posting the love of your life's 4-3 record in his last 7 games and his sixth place finish in the AAC this year is looking dumb?
I think taking up for him and wanting him to lead the LSU program would be looking pretty stupid right now.
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News