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re: Kentucky Derby Prediction Thread

Posted on 5/1/13 at 1:19 pm to
Posted by BayouKat
Member since Nov 2006
883 posts
Posted on 5/1/13 at 1:19 pm to
Haha never fear! I'll be around all week.

Are you out at Churchill?

What do you think of Revolutionary jogging yesterday with bell boots on? Privman said he galloped today but it looked like he had the bell boots on again in pictures. Could just be a precaution, but still makes you go hmm...

Another late scratch by Pletcher? It's becoming pretty routine by now, seems like.

ETA: Would hate to see that. I think the horse has a lot of heart. Love the way he's won some of his races. I really want to see what he can do in the Derby.
This post was edited on 5/1/13 at 1:22 pm
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114227 posts
Posted on 5/1/13 at 1:31 pm to
No,I'm stuck down here in Baton Rouge this year.

As for the bell boots, maybe he oversteps so much they are worried about him yanking a shoe and half his foot with it.

On bloodhorse there was some talk of ligament issues, but I'm hoping that's just a rumor since I'm using him.
This post was edited on 5/1/13 at 1:33 pm
Posted by BayouKat
Member since Nov 2006
883 posts
Posted on 5/1/13 at 1:37 pm to
Definitely hope it's a rumor too. If he galloped okay today, I wouldn't be too worried about it.

I'm curious about Mylute too. The horse seems to be growing up a lot...he was a very immature colt, loafed around in the mornings. But he's been putting in good works lately.

You'd think he was a sprinter by giving a quick glance pedigree but he's built like a route horse.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114227 posts
Posted on 5/1/13 at 1:48 pm to
I took a million pictures of him when he ran here. He grew up so much from the risen star to the la derby. I worry more about his mom's side than anything.

And I like Tom. He kicked our butt all winter with delauney, but I'll still cheer him on.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114227 posts
Posted on 5/1/13 at 2:05 pm to
Apparently revolutionary got to school without crazy construction noise.
Posted by BayouKat
Member since Nov 2006
883 posts
Posted on 5/1/13 at 2:23 pm to
I love grey horses. My favorite. And I'd love to see a FG horse do well.

Meant to respond to this earlier, but sorry the breeding didn't work out. Horse racing is a heartbreaking game :(

Also, this has pictures of some of the contenders as foals. Love it. LINK
Posted by Kcrad
Diamondhead
Member since Nov 2010
61637 posts
Posted on 5/1/13 at 2:52 pm to
Verrazano


By 3 lengths.

Book it.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114227 posts
Posted on 5/1/13 at 3:28 pm to
My colt is going to turn gray. I was pretty pumped. I love all the babies! I'm happy I at least got 1.

Miss my mare, though. I kinda always thought I'd make her a hunter if the breeding didn't work out.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114227 posts
Posted on 5/1/13 at 3:46 pm to
The draw is about to start!
This post was edited on 5/1/13 at 3:47 pm
Posted by BayouKat
Member since Nov 2006
883 posts
Posted on 5/1/13 at 3:53 pm to


I wish I had NBC Sports so I could watch it
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114227 posts
Posted on 5/1/13 at 3:58 pm to
I often wish I had NBC sports...

And tvg...

And hrtv...

I'm not allowed. The boy says i'd never get anything done.


Apparently no wifi in the draw room. People are mad.
This post was edited on 5/1/13 at 3:59 pm
Posted by BayouKat
Member since Nov 2006
883 posts
Posted on 5/1/13 at 4:00 pm to
Taking away wifi from a room full of journalists? Oooh boy.

And the Courier Journal has a stream.

And yes, no TVG for me. I miss it. I use Twinspires to watch the races a lot.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114227 posts
Posted on 5/1/13 at 4:02 pm to
Me too, but my silly phone has been giving me trouble
Posted by Bho
Lexington
Member since Dec 2007
24804 posts
Posted on 5/1/13 at 4:24 pm to
1-Black Onyx 50-1
2-Oxbow 30-1
3-Revolutionary 10-1
4-Golden Soul 50-1
5-Normandy Invasion 12-1
6-Mylute 15-1
7-Giant Finish 50-1
8-Goldencents 5-1
9-Overanalyze 15-1
10-Palace Malice 20-1
11-Lines of Battle 30-1
12-ItsMyLuckyDay 15-1
13-Falling Sky 50-1
14-Verrazano 4-1
15-Charming Kitten 20-1
16-Orb 7/2
17-Will Take Charge 20-1
18-Frac Daddy 50-1
19-Javas War 15-1
20-Vyjack 15-1

Pletcher was nervous until he got the 14 with Verrazano. M/L odds coming.
This post was edited on 5/1/13 at 4:54 pm
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114227 posts
Posted on 5/1/13 at 4:26 pm to
Saw that. 11 for battle
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114227 posts
Posted on 5/1/13 at 4:27 pm to
Wonder whch of my horses gets stuck in the 1
Posted by BayouKat
Member since Nov 2006
883 posts
Posted on 5/1/13 at 4:31 pm to
Getting nervous for who gets stuck with No. 1.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114227 posts
Posted on 5/1/13 at 4:33 pm to
Hoping not frac daddy. He hates dirt in his face. He's my random longshot
Posted by BayouKat
Member since Nov 2006
883 posts
Posted on 5/1/13 at 4:36 pm to
No. 3 is perfect for Revolutionary and Calvin.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114227 posts
Posted on 5/1/13 at 4:40 pm to
shite

I knew one of mine would get the 1
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