re: TS Jerry, TS Karen & More Areas to Watch - Peak Season

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A tropical disturbance is expected to enter the Gulf of Mexico this weekend, hurricane forecasters said Tuesday night. And its chances of developing into a tropical depression within five days have increased from 30% to 40%.

As of 7 p.m. Tuesday, the disturbance was over Turks and Caicos, the National Hurricane Center said. It's expected to move northwest over the next few days across the Bahamas and the Florida peninsula, dropping heavy rain as it goes.

It is expected to reach the Gulf of Mexico by the weekend and forecasters say "conditions could become more favorable for development when the system moves over the Florida Straits and into the eastern Gulf of Mexico."

As of Tuesday night, it was being given a medium chance of developing into at least a tropical depression, up from a low chance earlier in the day.

The storm categories, in increasing strength, are tropical depression, tropical storm and hurricane.

An expected path for the potential system hasn't yet been determined.

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