re: I'm just not buying the Bills being a solid 5-3 team

They're a much better team at home than on the road.


4-0 at home yes, but.....

Jets 21-12 Bills 2 TOs Jets 1
Jets 24th total offense 26th total defense

Denver 26-16. Bills 2 TOs Denver 0
Denver 20th total offense 2nd total defense

Tampa 30-27 Bills 4 TOs Bucs 1
Tampa 13th total offense 30 total defense

Oakland 34-14 Bills 6 TOs Raiders 0
Oakland 21st total offense 28th total defense

14 to 2 turnover margin +12 in those 4 win.

Their only road win Atlanta 23-17 they had were 5 to 1 TO margin.

19 to 3 turnover margin +16 in those wins.

Their 3 losses 1 and 6 turnover margin -5

They'll need a +3 turnover margin to beat the Saints.