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re: Possible tropical system in northern gulf Sunday

Posted on 5/31/17 at 2:25 pm to
Posted by MottLaneKid
Gonzales
Member since Apr 2012
4543 posts
Posted on 5/31/17 at 2:25 pm to
GFS Ensembles 12z indicates 1004 -1006 mb weak low psble in south central gulf by 120 hours (Monday 7 a.m. CDT ).

Upper level winds at 500 millibars ahead of approaching trough over central Texas will likely push any low and moisture axis toward big bend Florida panhandle in advance of cold front late Tuesday.

Also, current wind shear profiles are not conducive for development as moisture and heat will not be able to consolidate under a central mass.

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