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re: NFL Week 3 Bet Thread

Posted on 9/20/16 at 12:06 pm to
Posted by goldennugget
Hating Masks
Member since Jul 2013
24514 posts
Posted on 9/20/16 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

What about Cincy? I recall reading it somewhere 6 months ago that there was an undefeated system of betting against the super bowl winners the following year.

Something along that the defending champs will lose or not cover one of the 1st 3 games of the season. Since Denver has won and covered the 1st 2 game, the play should be on Cincy M/L.


Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
16995 posts
Posted on 9/20/16 at 12:30 pm to
that's the same reaction i get whenever you mentioned your spreadsheet.
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
16995 posts
Posted on 9/20/16 at 1:06 pm to
Here's some info i was able to dig up. I only could go back to 2002 with ESPN history of score. I'm not sure what the point spreads were in the past, but we can assume that as Super bowl champs, these teams should be favorites in most situations. Only in rare situations where there's a change in QB, the point spreads may not be significant i.e, Denver this year.

2015
NE as champions. Opened the season vs Pitt at Home. I can recall the line for this game around 6.5-7.5. But NE won the game by 7. Hard to make of it.

2014 Seattle as champs. Lost to SD wk 2.

2013
Baltimore as champs. Lost to Denver wk 1.

2012
NYG. Lost to Cowboys wk1.

2011
GB. Won by 7 week 2 vs Carolina. I can't remember this spread. But it was Cam Newton 1st season as #1 overall pick. So I guess the spread would be pretty high. Can anyone confirm this?

2010
Saints. Lost to Falcons wk 3.

2009
Pit. Lost to Bears wk 2.

2008
NYG. Won by 3 at home vs Cincy. I assume this is not a cover for NYG since they were 2-0 going into the game and Cincy was 0-2.

2007
Indy, won by 2 at Tennessee wk 2. Indy must've been a bigger favorite with a young Peyton Manning.

2006
Pit. Lost to Jax wk1

2005
NE, lost to Caroling wk 1

2004
NE, won by 3 at home vs Peyton. Need someone to find out spread for this game.

2003
Oak, lost to Tennessee wk1

2002
NE, won by 3 vs KC in foxboro. NE was 2-0, KC 1-1.
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