re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine

While the storm does appear to have gotten a little better organized overnight, the mid-level circulation is still south of the surface low. It does appear to be trying to stack the mid level circulation over the surface low to the north. Once it gets stacked vertically, the storm can then intensify more efficiently. Looking at the water vapor loop, it appears that dry air is impeding the system somewhat but remember the models don't have it taking off for awhile yet.
water vapor loop