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re: Miss River Flood Thread 2016, river back on the rise again.......

Posted on 12/30/15 at 1:03 am to
Posted by ScottieP
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2004
1933 posts
Posted on 12/30/15 at 1:03 am to
quote:

They didn't update the Miss River rise for Reserve and New Orleans today. If you look upstream though the River would probably be around 17.5 to 18 in New Orleans.


Look at the chart the crest in NOLA is 17 on 1/9 all the other crest are later in the month that is because the BC spillway will be open at 17ft on the Carrollton gage. The CORPS will not let it get higher. So plan for the BC to open on the 8th or 9th as of now. Our guess is they will hold off on Morganza for now. This will be a short peak not much water behind it.
Posted by ScottieP
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2004
1933 posts
Posted on 12/30/15 at 1:09 am to
This flood will be different from 2011 in that as of now it will be a short peak not prolonged over weeks and that the Red is contributing a good bit of water this time. If you look at the data the Red is contributing 180K right now of the total 350K in the Atch at Simmesport. The Red being high will hinder the CORP from sending more water through the ORCS than in 2011. It almost looks like the Red being high is even causing a slight backwater effect on the ORCS. Next few weeks will be interesting.
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