re: Marilyn vos Savant and the history of the Montel Hall question

quote:

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I like to break it down much further than 3 doors. Imagine 100 doors - 99 goats and 1 car - Door #37. You choose Door #42. Monty opens the other 98 doors leaving you with your choice and #37. Basically, if you stay, you're saying the other 98 doors being opened were irrelevant, because you stayed with your original choice. If you switch, your effectively giving yourself the chance to see 99 doors get opened, hence your chance of winning is 99% if you switch, and only 1% if you stay.

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