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re: Marilyn vos Savant and the history of the Montel Hall question
Posted on 2/23/15 at 4:17 pm to buckeye_vol
Posted on 2/23/15 at 4:17 pm to buckeye_vol
Regardless of how far out you want to extrapolate it (1000 doors, etc.), if you NEVER change your pick, Monte will always eliminate everything EXCEPT 1 car and one goat, leaving you with a 50/50 shot.
Likewise, if you change your pick EVERY time Monte exposes a new goat, he's still going to leave you with a 50/50 shot in the end.
Likewise, if you change your pick EVERY time Monte exposes a new goat, he's still going to leave you with a 50/50 shot in the end.
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