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re: UPDATED: SEC team capable of winning the West with 2 or 3 SEC losses per year?
Posted on 11/26/14 at 11:27 am to LNCHBOX
Posted on 11/26/14 at 11:27 am to LNCHBOX
quote:
So now you're applying the average to one season? Seems smart.
No, you did. You brought up Alabama.
My post wasnt on what was necessary to win the SECw, just how many SEC games Less Miles will lose every year.
I know you dont like the numbers, but they are facts.
quote:
Except for that year he lost 0, but hey those don't count, right?
In calculating a 95% CI all seasons were included. including the one where he lost zero.
Mathematics says that there is a 95% chance that he will lose between 1.5 and 3.3 games per year in the SEC.
It's just a fact.
2
Posted on 11/26/14 at 11:30 am to CptBengal
quote:
No, you did. You brought up Alabama.
their average, not a single season.
quote:
My post wasnt on what was necessary to win the SECw, just how many SEC games Less Miles will lose every year.
quote:
Is an SEC team capable of winning the West
Hmmm....
quote:
n calculating a 95% CI all seasons were included. including the one where he lost zero.
Mathematics says that there is a 95% chance that he will lose between 1.5 and 3.3 games per year in the SEC.
It's just a fact.
It's also a fact you use numbers only when they suit you. I've also shown your "analysis" should never be trusted since in your mind 8 games under .500 is not much different than 7 games over. You're a joke.
Posted on 11/26/14 at 11:32 am to CptBengal
quote:
Mathematics says that there is a 95% chance that he will lose between 1.5 and 3.3 games per year in the SEC.
I'd like to compare all of the West teams in this equation. Obviously, this year is a bit of an outlier with teams like Mississippi State and Ole Miss performing much better than their historical records indicate. Of course, it appears Arkansas will again become a consistent contender so it'd be interesting to see what each head coach in the West is predicted to lose and their loss probability (obviously some have more SEC data to go on than others)
This post was edited on 11/26/14 at 11:34 am
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