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re: Why Vegas thinks TCU has a good shot vs LSU
Posted on 8/22/13 at 2:00 pm to PurpleAndGold86
Posted on 8/22/13 at 2:00 pm to PurpleAndGold86
quote:
No one is betting on TCU. On SportsBook the action is listed as 96% LSU and 4% TCU.
Lines don't move based on public action. They move based on sharp action.
This means the public is pounding LSU(not a surprise) but the sharp/smart/high roller money is coming in on TCU to keep the line around 3.5-4.5.
If a bunch of sharps/wise guys come in and pound the LSU line it will move.
It could also be a trap line, with books themselves gambling on a TCU cover which would be a giant score for the books. A big risk, but high return.
1
Posted on 8/22/13 at 2:02 pm to goldennugget
quote:
This means the public is pounding LSU(not a surprise) but the sharp/smart/high roller money is coming in on TCU to keep the line around 3.5-4.5.
The line has steadily risen and it isn't even the week of the game yet. The first time I looked at this line it was -4 and has gone to 4.5 and now sits at -5 on SportsBook.
Let's see what happens to this line next week in the days leading up to the game and on the day of the game.
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