re: DooLittle's top PFs projections (Davis#3,Anderson#6)

quote:

---

WARP is bullshite when evaluating PGs. Best metric ever when ranking PFs.

:lawyered:

Non Insider here, so how do they do the projections? Is it all based on previous seasons stats or do they anticipate jumps/bumps in performance?

---

He uses something called ATH projection- which can be somewhat explained

On incoming rookies and ATH

quote:

---

In a nutshell, the system estimates how well a player's amateur production will translate based on certain athletic factors, such as foul-drawing ability, rebounding, shot-blocking and steals. This method also is used to project a possible aging pattern for each player, based on his age upon entering the league and similarities to past players with similar athletic traits.

---

WARP explained

It's not perfect, but is interesting. Age, team role and that do play a factor in these projections.