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re: How many of you guys think Mett should throw it 30+ times per game next season?

Posted on 1/19/12 at 11:57 am to
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
90886 posts
Posted on 1/19/12 at 11:57 am to
quote:

And the reasoning behind such.


Assuming 60 to 65 offensive snaps per game, and also assuming we dominate a number of teams (North Texas, Idaho, Towson, Ole Miss), and hold leads in other games late, even a balanced attack will skew towards running against a schedule like that.

Having said that, a truly balanced attack would see between 24 and 27 pass attempts per game - should be be down in the second half against opponents like Florida, Bama and Arkansas (the 3 key regular season tests next year), that might kick it up a bit.

30 is probably too high, just based on the overall makeup of the team and coaching philosphy. However, much below an average of 24 or 25 will mark a status quo. We can still win if it's hyperefficient (70%+ completion, more outs and mid-range balls over the middle than WR screens/quick slants and flats), but it will show we are more committed to running than balance.

If 30+ is too much and 22 or 23 is too little, I guess the sweep spot is about 26 or 27.

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