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re: BCS Early Computer Rankings - Wow

Posted on 10/4/11 at 9:44 am to
Posted by rbdallas
Dallas, TX
Member since Nov 2007
10340 posts
Posted on 10/4/11 at 9:44 am to
according to the chart Boise has played a stronger schedule ???


that's what's weird to me....
the WV game did stack the numbers against us for now

quote:

there is a reason these don't factor in until later in the season. They need a lot of data in order for them to sort out. Come week 8, we will be up at the top of most of these computer polls


+ 1 Limited data = skewed results, it will become more accurate as data grows.
This post was edited on 10/4/11 at 9:49 am
Posted by bee Rye
New orleans
Member since Jan 2006
34049 posts
Posted on 10/4/11 at 10:03 am to
quote:

according to the chart Boise has played a stronger schedule ???


that's what's weird to me....
I'll attempt to explain this, and while it may make sense after to you, there will still surely be people on this board who don't get it. Here goes:

Strength of Schedule is not as simple as "this is who we played". We played Oregon, but OUR strenght of schedule also factors in who else Oregon has played. And who else those teams that Oregan has played, have played.

So this early in the season, while Boise may have played a bunch of teams we view as cupcakes, those cupcake teams have played BCS teams as those BCS teams cupcake games. As the season wears on, and the Idaho's of the world begin to play their shitty conference opponents, and the Oregon's and West Virginia's get into their conference games, all of the matrix polls begin to sort themselves out once teams get into conference play, because teams are then playing similiar competition.

I know this was a shitty attempt at an explanation, but hopefully it is enough to at least get the point across. By week 8, if LSU is still undefeated, our SOS and computer rankings will be between 1 and 7, and of course the lowest gets dropped. Alabama and LSU will be heavy at 1-2 in ALL computer polls by the time the matter.
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