re: Recruiting has gone down, 3 star will absolutely not bring home a Nati

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TL/DR version: Take the earlier versions of the rankings with a grain of salt and the same can be said for the final updates. The correlation between team rankings and on-field performance is a bit of a self-fulfilling prophecy as the final updates to rankings more closely correlate to the coaches evaluations and the individual player's offer sheet. That is why you see the "Bama Bump", yes - the "LSU Bump", the "Ohio State Bump", oh hell, the "Power 5 Bump".

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Thank you for your service in completely destroying the OP with facts.

Some of the same should happen this year. We already have 1 5 star on On3 when you look at their rankings. It will be a crime if Green doesn’t get one before the last update comes out. Our On3 guys all are pushing that and think he deserves it. I also expect a few of our underrated 3 stars to get a bump up to 4. But like you said- the only thing this indicates is the weakness of the system at evaluating ALL players, not how good the players are. Atkins and Keys being 3 stars on one service or the other is a great example of this. Anyone who watches them play will scratch their heads on that one.