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re: 2023 Pels NBA Draft Discussion
Posted on 4/22/23 at 4:33 pm to New City Champ
Posted on 4/22/23 at 4:33 pm to New City Champ
quote:
My man crush though in the current draft class is Trayce Jackson-Davis out of Indiana, a mobile 6'9" big with hops and a 7'+ reach who can also pass and score down on the block. He's not coveted because he's not any kind of three point shooter, but he has a lot of Sabonis in him otherwise. Taking him at 14 is too high, but if Pels could get back into the end of the first, I'd be happy to give up a future asset to get TJD. He projects as exactly the kind of big Willie wants and he and Larry would be pretty interchangeable.
if you are TDgm and he's available at 14
1. take him. he meets most requirements
2. trade down and hope to get him at 22. plus you get a 2nd round pick swap in 25.
I hate option 2.
if you like him don't fret over his perfect slot.
Posted on 4/22/23 at 5:19 pm to CelticDog
Understand your thinking on this, but part of being a GM is maximizing value.
The best case scenario here is for the Pels to come out of this draft with one of the top shooter/scorers, which is very doable at the end of the lottery, and a switchable, rim-protecting big who can also rebound. Harder to do both.
But if TJD was still there toward the end of the first, which is likely given his shooting limitations, I'd gladly give up a lottery-protected first in '24 or '25 to a team like Indiana that's already made multiple picks in the first round and may want to trade out of a late first in favor of a potential mid-round first next year or the year after.
The analytics guys might kill you for doing it, but if you think TJD would be worth a mid-round first pick on his own in the next two years, I think you do it to get him now. Really just advancing the pick a year on a guy you like--assuming they do.
The best case scenario here is for the Pels to come out of this draft with one of the top shooter/scorers, which is very doable at the end of the lottery, and a switchable, rim-protecting big who can also rebound. Harder to do both.
But if TJD was still there toward the end of the first, which is likely given his shooting limitations, I'd gladly give up a lottery-protected first in '24 or '25 to a team like Indiana that's already made multiple picks in the first round and may want to trade out of a late first in favor of a potential mid-round first next year or the year after.
The analytics guys might kill you for doing it, but if you think TJD would be worth a mid-round first pick on his own in the next two years, I think you do it to get him now. Really just advancing the pick a year on a guy you like--assuming they do.
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