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re: Congressional Election Prediction

Posted on 10/9/22 at 9:30 am to
Posted by Wednesday
Member since Aug 2017
15920 posts
Posted on 10/9/22 at 9:30 am to
House is a landslide win for Rs. Biden sucks that bad. He is horrendous enough that democrats are just flat too embarrassed to show up and vote.

Rs also take Senate - I think 53 safest bet but things work as well for Rs as 54

Of D To R potential flips, my thoughts are-

1- Arizona -R wins. Lake motivates Masters voters and he wins. Kelly is milquetoast and the Democrat governor candidate is embarrassing. There are no McCain Rs to frick things up for the R candidates. Kari Lake is a force of nature. She will have coattails.

2- Nevada - Rs win by enough votes to overcome cheating. Masco sucks.

3 - New Hampshire- Rs win in upset. Their D Senator is awful and not popular. Grassroots support for MAGA general is strong.

4 - Pennsylvania- Oz wins at the buzzer. Fetterman is just that terrible and incoherent. Only dead people and straight communists can possibly think this mentally disabled person is a good idea. Herschel isn’t smart. Fetterman should be under some kind of curatorship. He is not competent to make decisions about his affairs much less Pennsylvania’s.

5- Georgia- I’m not sure if Herschel can win. I think he’s sincere, and I hope he wins, but I’m not sure what qualifies him to be a senator. This is the only race I think Rs will lose, and it’s only bc Atlanta is now Anywhere, USA full of carpetbaggers. Traditional actual Georgia ppl will vote for HW. But - If I lived in Georgia I would be stressed out about this one. It looks like The Georgia R Party is similar to Arizona, except their McCains and other Chamber of Commerce Republicans remain in charge. It’s their last stronghold now that Doucey shite the bed. These ppl are not going to help Herschel, and probably helped unearth this stupid abortion story. And poor thing - he’s just not smart.

— important R holds will be —

JD Vance will beat that phony, annoying AF Democrat he’s running against. Easily

Hopefully Kelly Tsibaka will beat Murkowski’s rigged election process but I’m not optimistic.

Hopefully NC gets its shite together and elects the Budd and the USA is done forever with Burr and his RINO insider trading nonsense and doesn’t have to elect a democrat to do it. No idea what’s happening with this race.

Johnson will get re-elected in Wisky

If all this comes true - the Senate could ditch or neutralize McConnell, which could be a more meaningful victory than if they just had a 53 (or 54 if Herschel and NC Budd pulls it off) majority. Especially with the arse whooping that’s about to go down in the House.

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