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re: Tornado! Threat Clearing Louisiana

Posted on 4/26/17 at 11:02 am to
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 4/26/17 at 11:02 am to
quote:

in those storm chasing shows on Discovery a few years ago... he came off as a real a-hole



You should read his book "Into The Storm". It has insight into his history and experiences.
Posted by LSURoss
SWLAish
Member since Dec 2007
15267 posts
Posted on 4/26/17 at 1:09 pm to
Bump
Posted by supadave3
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2005
30234 posts
Posted on 4/26/17 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

Bump


Really no reason to bump this. It's nice and sunny here in Monroe.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
141045 posts
Posted on 4/26/17 at 1:52 pm to
the main line is hammering Tyler and about to get into Longview, Texas for those watching from Shreveport

Hot Springs getting it right now in Arkansas
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
42175 posts
Posted on 4/26/17 at 1:55 pm to
quote:

Really no reason to bump this. It's nice and sunny here in Monroe.

I guess that means that the weather is good everywhere else, too. We couldn't possibly want to discuss severe weather that is occurring west and north of Monroe.
Posted by RazorBroncs
Harding Bisons Fan
Member since Sep 2013
13534 posts
Posted on 4/26/17 at 1:55 pm to
So far this system has fallen well below expectations as far as severity and organization, mostly just a rain dumper at this point. Someone with more resources help me out here - are conditions still ripe for intensification at any time, or was it a little bit of a miss all around?
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
141045 posts
Posted on 4/26/17 at 2:10 pm to
quote:

So far this system has fallen well below expectations as far as severity and organization, mostly just a rain dumper at this point. Someone with more resources help me out here - are conditions still ripe for intensification at any time, or was it a little bit of a miss all around?

if I'm reading things right... the main line is just now moving into the area where things could get really severe

let's see how things pan out from here to nightfall and beyond

others can correct me if I'm wrong though
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19805 posts
Posted on 4/26/17 at 2:20 pm to
The 18z SHV sounding showed that the cap has weakened a great deal. 12z had a "cap" reading of -364 and 18z only showed -5. However, forcing along the front has been strong enough to fire a solid line of storms all the way down into central E. Texas. Any discrete cells that fire across N. Louisiana will have tornadic potential but the risk certainly appears to be decreasing. There could still be brief spin ups in the main line as it moves through.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
141045 posts
Posted on 4/26/17 at 3:10 pm to
got a couple cells starting to form ahead of the main line it looks like

1 cell by Shreveport... other just on the other side of the LA/AR line

main line still back in Texas

nothing severe yet but who knows
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19805 posts
Posted on 4/26/17 at 3:23 pm to
quote:

got a couple cells starting to form ahead of the main line it looks like

1 cell by Shreveport... other just on the other side of the LA/AR line

main line still back in Texas

nothing severe yet but who knows


Those are the ones to watch for now unless something else fires across N. Louisiana. It looks like most of the northern half of Louisiana is now uncapped based on sat and SPC meso analysis.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
141045 posts
Posted on 4/26/17 at 3:24 pm to
yeah... the radar I'm looking at...

more storms are starting to fire off ahead of the main line
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
41466 posts
Posted on 4/26/17 at 3:25 pm to
Moderate risk has been downgraded to an Enhanced risk for that area. Still 10% hatched tornado threat in that area so still stay weather aware tonight.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19805 posts
Posted on 4/26/17 at 3:35 pm to
quote:

Moderate risk has been downgraded to an Enhanced risk for that area. Still 10% hatched tornado threat in that area so still stay weather aware tonight.


Not surprising given the staying power of the cap across Arkansas today where the better wind profiles are located. Plenty of CAPE across N. Louisiana but wind profiles are more questionable. Today was kind of an odd outlook sequence by SPC.
Posted by chinhoyang
Member since Jun 2011
23326 posts
Posted on 4/26/17 at 3:38 pm to
Seems like the cells in Caddo Parish and small ones in Desoto Parish won't have time to get going full speed until they are out of those parishes.
Posted by rattlebucket
SELA
Member since Feb 2009
11429 posts
Posted on 4/26/17 at 4:27 pm to
We left Murfreesboro Ark early because of the weather. In delhi at poverty point in the travel trailer. Trying to figure if we should head home to Northshore now
Posted by DavidTheGnome
Monroe
Member since Apr 2015
29147 posts
Posted on 4/26/17 at 4:36 pm to
I'm in Monroe. It looks cloudy with a chance of meatballs.
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
75153 posts
Posted on 4/26/17 at 4:39 pm to
quote:

I'm in Monroe


Sorry to hear that.
Posted by DavidTheGnome
Monroe
Member since Apr 2015
29147 posts
Posted on 4/26/17 at 4:41 pm to
quote:

Sorry to hear that.



It's ok I think we have Uber now.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19805 posts
Posted on 4/26/17 at 4:46 pm to
Tornado watch expanded to include all of CenLa now.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
141045 posts
Posted on 4/26/17 at 4:46 pm to

whoo hoo... that's me homey
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