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Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:08 pm to Chad504boy
Euro trending stronger on this run, seems more west also (for the record i don't want it to get stronger and go more west sorry if i sounded excited believe i am not)
This post was edited on 8/27/16 at 1:12 pm
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:11 pm to Chad504boy
quote:
I just don't want a cat 3 or greater to start barreling down somewhere
yep, preparing for TS,1,2 is whole different world than cat 3
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:15 pm to Duke
quote:
The stronger the system, the better it will feel the weakness in the high pressure from the ULL and move north. There's more there in the mid and upper levels to feel the pull.
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:24 pm to LSU1NSEC
quote:
preparing for TS,1,2 is whole different world than cat 3
I'm from South-Central Louisiana, a TS, 1, or 2 is just kite weather.
Cat 3 - find a buddy with a generator and plan a party.
Cat 4 - might actually want to prepare a little for this one (translation: buy extra alcohol)
Cat 5 - "frick, I just finished building that deer stand!"
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:26 pm to rds dc
What happened to the shear that was supposed to destroy this thing?
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:27 pm to SlapahoeTribe
In these threads you can always tell who doesn't own property.
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:28 pm to GeorgeTheGreek
My understanding has been that it was always going to weaken around yesterday and I guess it did so
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:33 pm to lsuman25
Mannn just give up. What is Euro thinking
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:33 pm to rds dc
(no message)
This post was edited on 8/27/16 at 1:34 pm
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:34 pm to GEAUXmedic
It's taking it to Mobile area?
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:34 pm to GeorgeTheGreek
quote:
What happened to the shear that was supposed to destroy this thing?
the shear was thursday and friday, and it did do a number on the system.
late friday into today were when it was supposed to really kick off development and it definitely has been trying to... Today is kind of a critical day for the storm.. if it can't sustain convection today then it's time to really assess what's been going wrong with the bullish guidance
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:34 pm to tiger91
rds still made me nervous but Geauxmedics MOVING model made me feel better with that curve to the NE.
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:35 pm to GEAUXmedic
Goddammit. I just have a bad feeling this thing is going to trend far west, strengthen, then put it right in Louisiana's pooper. I just don't understand how the models think it's not going to be a major hurricane if it does follow that path...
The conditions look to the most favorable in GOM than anywhere else for rapid development, right?
The conditions look to the most favorable in GOM than anywhere else for rapid development, right?
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:36 pm to tiger91
gotta wait for the next frame but that looks almost due north to me we shall see though
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:36 pm to LakeViewLSU
quote:
these threads you can always tell who doesn't own property.
300+ acres, house, and barn.
I've been through it all.
I've been royally fricked over by an unnamed storm; I've weathered a Cat 4/5 like a spring rain.
I've survived major floods without a drop of water in my house; I've seen an average rain do $30k of damage.
One thing I've come to realize over the past few decades is that the category of storm has very little translation to the damage I can expect/prepare for.
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:37 pm to GEAUXmedic
EURO/HWRF/UKMET/GEM have 99L to hurricane strength in the Gulf
wait and see what happens
wait and see what happens
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