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Started By
Message
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:37 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
What is Euro thinking
Hurricane?
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:38 pm to lsuman25
25 that would still be to the East of me. We're around Vermilion Bay area. Evacuations are part of the norm around here for hurricanes and it's no fun and takes time. I'm not worried at this point but I did ask my husband to get the generator checked out and ready "in case".
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:39 pm to rds dc
quote:
quote:
What is Euro thinking
Hurricane?
pretty much the same thing it's been thinking all along
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:40 pm to tiger91
Yea, euro hooks it northeast towards Pensacola but it gets close, gonna be a nerve racking week until the models get a better grip on this system
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:40 pm to baytiger
Is it at all possible for GOM to develop some unfavorable conditions at any point next few days for development?
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:41 pm to lsuman25
I just want to have harvest done and rice in the bins. Much less stress that way for us personally!
I wish this would die already.
I wish this would die already.
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:45 pm to deuce985
Well, this is certainly an interesting change. Not sure I buy it given the flip flopping of the Euro with this system, but it is making me play very close attention again.
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:45 pm to deuce985
quote:
Is it at all possible for GOM to develop some unfavorable conditions at any point next few days for development?
GFS quickly develops an east>west steering flow that pushes the system out faster than it can become a cyclone. It's developing this pattern faster than any other model which is why it's the most bearish once 99l gets into the gulf. I think that flow is going to determine both how strong the storm becomes and where it eventually ends up.
This post was edited on 8/27/16 at 1:46 pm
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:47 pm to lsuman25
quote:Isn't that what Peej predicted about 50 pages ago???
landfall near Pensacola looks like
ETA: Here is his early prediction:
"IF it makes the GOM, it hits the panhandle." - Peej, 8/24/16
Another sign the Apocalypse is near.....
This post was edited on 8/27/16 at 2:06 pm
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:51 pm to burdman
Get gas in the boat now if that's the case.
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:57 pm to GEAUXmedic
Yikes. That's a nasty curve. I don't know if I have enough faith in that to not gtfo.
Might have to have a combo with the folks about the their plans this week.
Might have to have a combo with the folks about the their plans this week.
Posted on 8/27/16 at 1:58 pm to GEAUXmedic
Well hell, that path doesn't look good for me. If it gets to 963mb as that model suggests, what category storm is that typically?
Posted on 8/27/16 at 2:00 pm to lsuman25
12z Euro doing god's work for the people of LA.
Here's the 192 hrs out frame:
Would be devastating for the FL panhandle, Mobile, and far north of those areas if this run turns out remotely true. The good news is that it looks to knock on the door of LA, then decides it would rather have a beach trip at the last moment.
*** The commentary above in no way represents ANY kind of forecast or track, it is simply commentary on the above run ***
This post was edited on 8/27/16 at 2:07 pm
Posted on 8/27/16 at 2:01 pm to RazorBroncs
What happened to those easy to read graphs with all the lines?
Posted on 8/27/16 at 2:01 pm to Costanza
Yeah, I don't like how these models are starting to trend to strengthening which might be because today it's possibly getting its act together. When does that guy on Tropical Tidbits do his update? I'd be interested to see what he has to say. Yesterday he said depending on what it does it could shift it up Florida's coast like that. He was talking about that little system around Carolina.
This post was edited on 8/27/16 at 2:03 pm
Posted on 8/27/16 at 2:01 pm to GEAUXmedic
Man, the HWRF solution would be worst case scenario for Tampa.
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