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1
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:08 pm to rds dc
So now are models almost split on the direction this thing is going to go?
Any real hope that it doesn't loop around and come back Houston?
This post was edited on 8/25/17 at 8:10 pm
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:08 pm to TxWadingFool
Simply heartbreaking. Very helpless feeling & I can certainly empathize. Lost so much in the August flood & still fighting back to "normal" a year later.
Just keep looking at that gorgeous picture of your view from your place. Anything can be rebuilt. Glad you made the right call to get out. Good luck going forward
Just keep looking at that gorgeous picture of your view from your place. Anything can be rebuilt. Glad you made the right call to get out. Good luck going forward
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:11 pm to TexasTiger
Wow, that is a big change from earlier today even, right? That looks great for Houston and LA, and not great for central TX.
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:12 pm to wickowick
quote:
Anyone know the last time central Texas took a hit from a major hurricane?
Carla, 1961
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:13 pm to baytiger
quote:
The hrrr is kinda bad though. I've gotten to the point where I only look at it when absolutely nothing else has a handle on convection
It has done well at times here in Texas but it bust badly often. Kind of the story with CAMs but a stationary band setting up over an area is certainly possible. Just have to wait and see.
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:16 pm to GRTiger
Be careful with those spaghetti plots though. They give equal weight to all the models and many of them do not deserve that weight.
I've got an early shift again tomorrow, so I'm out for the night. Good luck to all those in the path and your friends and family members as well. I've got several in Houston that I've been keeping tabs on and I'll check with them tomorrow as well.
I've got an early shift again tomorrow, so I'm out for the night. Good luck to all those in the path and your friends and family members as well. I've got several in Houston that I've been keeping tabs on and I'll check with them tomorrow as well.
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:17 pm to rds dc
Used to use it religiously in my convective initiation routine but just got burned so often that it feels like a waste of time to include it.
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:18 pm to TexasTiger
quote:
Any real hope that it doesn't loop around and come back Houston?
That looks super frickin promising. First time I've seen models showing it going the other way.
In Humble. Been fairly dry today but bracing for a rough weekend.
This post was edited on 8/25/17 at 8:19 pm
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:18 pm to GRTiger
Pat Shingleton called it yesterday. GOAT 
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:19 pm to Jim Rockford
Pat had it going to West / Central Texas?
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:20 pm to LSU9102
So we are probably dealing with a bunch of older structures not up to current building codes. I bet a lot of those structures close to the water are not high enough. God bless anyone that stayed along the coast. Katrina has a storm surge that went for miles...
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:20 pm to GRTiger
quote:
Wow, that is a big change from earlier today even, right? That looks great for Houston and LA, and not great for central TX
Eric Berger just mentioned this in his update. Certainly seems a little more promising for the tine.
quote:
Weather model data today has indicated that Harvey will stick around (though not in its current form) perhaps for the better part of a week, delivering periods of rain to the Houston area. It won’t rain the whole time, and we may even see sunshine from time to time throughout this event. But you’ll need to be prepared to deal with travel disruption, inconvenience, changing forecasts, and perhaps cabin fever in some cases. As said above, a marathon, not a sprint, and unfortunately we all have to participate. Will there be a Harvey reborn Act II? Doubtful. Weather models have pulled back on the awful scenario depicted a couple times in recent days with Harvey hanging offshore as a hurricane or strong tropical storm. That would just compound an already terrible situation. We’ll continue to watch, but that’s not at the top of the list of concerns at the moment. Flooding and heavy rainfall tops the list.
This post was edited on 8/25/17 at 8:24 pm
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:21 pm to LesGeaux45
quote:
Pat had it going to West / Central Texas?
Yes. People were bitching about it, but he nailed it.
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:21 pm to Jobu93
quote:
In Cypress. We took 15 inches last time and was dry. Crossing my fingers. Sunday and Monday will be rough
Same
Couple of homes flooded in my hood for tax day
Live off meuschke
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:21 pm to TxWadingFool
TxWadingFool,
At the current heading, Rockport will miss all that wind coming out of the south. That should lower the surge totals for you as compared to locations a little farther north.
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:21 pm to TexasTiger
quote:
Any real hope that it doesn't loop around and come back Houston?
GFS suggesting it gets buried in central/west Texas and never does anything but rain and rain and rain.
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:22 pm to TexasTiger
Huge if true
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:22 pm to tylercsbn9
That would be excellent
Posted on 8/25/17 at 8:23 pm to Jim Rockford
The main weather guy on channel 2 in Houston runs his own model and his model has been showing it going into west Texas as well.
He shows the euro model the America model than his model.
He shows the euro model the America model than his model.
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