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Location:Gonzales, La
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Number of Posts:23522
Registered on:1/3/2008
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re: Tropical Storm Cindy - Duke
It should make sense the coastal flooding has become a bigger issue today. As the storm went south of us, we caught winds out of the east. Now that it is to our west, the winds have shifted out of the south. ...
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re: Tropical Storm Cindy - Duke
Better than flying United....
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re: Tropical Storm Cindy - Duke
Yep. Notable convective burst riding that plume of moisture toward SE La. Central part still covered by the dry slot and still pulling in quite a bit from her SW. ...
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re: Tropical Storm Cindy - Duke
[quote]I have a feeling this isn't over and we will see much more rain later today.[/quote] Doubtful. Dry air in the mid levels has wrapped in. It's getting sheared to hell still and the moisture plume hasn't moved with it. There isn't much firing from the COC, making it suspect to throw much ...
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re: Tropical Storm Cindy - Duke
Enjoy the day off, but there's no reason to think Baton Rouge will get much more than it's already seen....
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re: Tropical Storm Cindy - Duke
[quote]After August, I am just thankful to have limited rainfall. No one can take more flooding who had already been flooded as recently as then.[/quote] No doubt. I'm about a week from finally moving back in after some contractor buggary held us up. It was good to see people take the potenti...
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re: Tropical Storm Cindy - Duke
[quote] The HRRR did a good job predicting this setup last night. Here is the current rainfall projections for the next 18 hours, through 11 PM tonight. Looks like SW LA is the only spot that could get anything significant[/quote] Yeah, the HRRR nailed it. That's an impressive model. It nailed l...
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re: Tropical Storm Cindy - Duke
[quote]Wow those seemed to have changed a lot in the past 90 minutes or so[/quote] rds made a great post a page back explaining the why in language you can mostly understand. ...
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re: Tropical Storm Cindy - Duke
Lines up well with what rds illustrated earlier. Looks like a very reasonable solution and one that doesn't re-flood my house a week before we move back in. :nana: *thinks of the potential flooding to east* *ignores those feelings* :nana: :nana: :cool:...
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re: Tropical Storm Cindy - Duke
[quote]No real changes on the 00z GFS, moves the system off to the NW but the upper level setup continues to favor divergence aloft. Then the circulation of Cindy aids in low level convergence in the area under the favorable upper level divergence. This leads to a prolonged period of heavy rain in t...
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re: Tropical Storm Cindy - Duke
It's able to do that because it's like half tropical. Cindy would need to really organize to make much more of a jump in intensity. ...
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re: Tropical Storm Cindy - Duke
[quote]Fingers crossed that they're right. [/quote] Cindy is such a mess of a system with no end to the dry air and shear until it gets closed to landfall. It would be extremely surprising to see more strengthening. ...
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re: Tropical Storm Cindy - Duke
74 mph...
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re: Tropical Storm Cindy - Duke
[quote]Ha no prob, just really can't decide what to do about the drive with kids and stuff. Risky but not sure what other options[/quote] You need to pay attention to reports coming out of Pensacola, Mobile, and into the Mississippi Coast. Flooding will be the concern over that way. It'll be a br...
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re: Tropical Storm Cindy - Duke
That's exactly what he meant. That deep ripply cloud top is deep convection. I wouldn't be surprised if there was some lightning in that area, and obviously some extremely heavy rain. ...
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re: Tropical Storm Cindy - Duke
[quote]Don't get me wrong, I'm thankful for the info here. Just trying to gauge my level of prep for me and the SO.[/quote] I understand. I got about three feet back in August, so I understand the oversensitivity. There's no reason to expect flooding anything close to last summer. By this point i...
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re: Tropical Storm Cindy - Duke
[quote]So where's this thing gonna get on the Fujita Scale?[/quote] About 2 gils. [quote]Is we all gonna die [/quote] Eventually. ...
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re: Tropical Storm Cindy - Duke
[quote]Rummy, if not for the great flood last year, would there be this level of concern? [/quote] No there wouldn't be. There's always the outside chance of a storm like this stalling just right to cause a major flood, everyone around here is now extremely aware of that fact. ...
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re: Tropical Storm Cindy - Duke
[quote]Troll!? I take offense sir.[/quote] :lol: You should be proud of your efficiency. Heavy downvote rate....
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re: Tropical Storm Cindy - Duke
Don't feed the trolls. You want to talk about the weather, do it and ignore the trolls. ...
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