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Started By
Message
re: Louisiana COVID-19 - July 30, 2020 Update: 114,481 cases - 3,811 deaths - 1,317,390 tested
Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:54 pm to CitizenK
Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:54 pm to CitizenK
quote:
I'm hearing that two hospitals in NOLA have zero CV patients the last two weeks
Seriously, NOLA should have been in stage 3 mid-May. But, Avegno and the Destroya love their power.
This post was edited on 7/30/20 at 12:55 pm
1
Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:55 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Wut? It took a month of declining numbers to take us off stay at home order
he argued that not all regions were declining
quote:
Then he extended phase 1 2 weeks longer than needed
1 week
Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:55 pm to CitizenK
quote:
Looking at states across the South, the downward trend started about the same time regardless if masks required or not. Seems more like it is going through the rest of the state like it did in NOLA in March/April then suddenly hospitals had no patients from full ICU's in about a week, I'm hearing that two hospitals in NOLA have zero CV patients the last two weeks
This
Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:56 pm to Salmon
quote:
he argued that not all regions were declining
This has been my complaint all along. The one size fits all approach.
Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:56 pm to Cosmo
quote:
This has been my complaint all along. The one size fits all approach.
no argument here
Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:57 pm to Fun Bunch
quote:
It’ll have to be less than 5% for at least 2-3 weeks and still descending that last week. Any rise, any day above 5%, he ain’t moving.
Exactly.
Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:57 pm to MikeBRLA
They are not counting the deaths as negatives to the hospital numbers!
Posted on 7/30/20 at 12:58 pm to treyk89
We moved to Phase 2 with a >5% positivity rate 
now they may be more cautious now, but there is precedent
now they may be more cautious now, but there is precedent
Posted on 7/30/20 at 1:00 pm to Salmon
Salmon, you’re a smart dude and I have a question
I have been posting the hospital data lately and believed it to be good news because it was falling in key states
But what if the number of hospitalized patients is falling only because deaths are surging at the hospitals and freeing up beds?
It’s theoretically possible for the number of new admittances to a hospital to increase while the number of hospitalized falls, if deaths caused so many open beds.
Is that what is happening here?
Day 1: 30 new admits, 20 deaths. +10 new hospitalizations
Day 2: 40 new admits, 35 deaths. +5 new hospitalizations
Day 3: 50 new admits, 55 deaths. -5 hospitalizations
This trend looks good on surface, but actually very bad
Is that what is happening here?
I have been posting the hospital data lately and believed it to be good news because it was falling in key states
But what if the number of hospitalized patients is falling only because deaths are surging at the hospitals and freeing up beds?
It’s theoretically possible for the number of new admittances to a hospital to increase while the number of hospitalized falls, if deaths caused so many open beds.
Is that what is happening here?
Day 1: 30 new admits, 20 deaths. +10 new hospitalizations
Day 2: 40 new admits, 35 deaths. +5 new hospitalizations
Day 3: 50 new admits, 55 deaths. -5 hospitalizations
This trend looks good on surface, but actually very bad
Is that what is happening here?
Posted on 7/30/20 at 1:01 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
I'd rather him keep us in Phase 2 for an extra month than have him go to Phase 3, numbers rise (which they will, which is fine), then have him jerk us back down to 2.
Posted on 7/30/20 at 1:05 pm to Fun Bunch
quote:
I'd rather him keep us in Phase 2 for an extra month than have him go to Phase 3, numbers rise (which they will, which is fine), then have him jerk us back down to 2.
I cant get onboard with this mindset. Numbers are gonna jump whenever we go from two to three. It does not matter if it's now or 6 months from now.
Posted on 7/30/20 at 1:06 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
I have no idea
but I know deaths lag hospitalizations and if people are not filling those beds after someone dies, then deaths will begin to decline shortly after hospitalizations decline
but I know deaths lag hospitalizations and if people are not filling those beds after someone dies, then deaths will begin to decline shortly after hospitalizations decline
Posted on 7/30/20 at 1:08 pm to Cosmo
quote:
one size fits all approach
Exactly!
Not just states but ppl.
Under 50. No serious health issues.
Live normal.
Not everyone is 80.
Or gets winded walking up stairs.
Posted on 7/30/20 at 1:10 pm to skullhawk
quote:
government thought could stop virus with no cure
Also, one that most don't even know have it. Stealthy AF.
Ain't no stopping the Rona.
Posted on 7/30/20 at 1:11 pm to treyk89
So nobody thinks Phase 3 is coming next week?
Posted on 7/30/20 at 1:12 pm to Riolobo
quote:
So nobody thinks Phase 3 is coming next week?
Highly doubtful.
Posted on 7/30/20 at 1:13 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
But what if the number of hospitalized patients is falling only because deaths are surging at the hospitals and freeing up beds?
I don’t think this is what is happening.
Even if it is we are still improving because the cases are not increasing. If we were truly in a pandemic state the cases would increase exponentially. Not only are we not increasing exponentially, we aren’t increasing period anymore. It means the end is near.
The key question is... are we controlling the virus or is it controlling us?
Hopefully, it’s the later and the virus is doing what it wants regardless of what we do, that would mean we are reaching herd immunity.
Posted on 7/30/20 at 1:15 pm to Riolobo
quote:
So nobody thinks Phase 3 is coming next week?
Think we will need another week of downward trend. So hopefully he only extends for 1 week. Yes, I expect it to be 2weeks.
This post was edited on 7/30/20 at 1:17 pm
Posted on 7/30/20 at 1:16 pm to TigersSEC2010
Are we still #1?
Posted on 7/30/20 at 1:18 pm to tigerskin
has he done anything for just 1 week? all his exensions have been 2 or 4 weeks right?
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