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re: LA. Disaster Real Estate Spike?

Posted on 8/15/16 at 9:30 am to
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
98730 posts
Posted on 8/15/16 at 9:30 am to
Yes.

Houses that do not flood in this event will have a premium.

It likely will also put the brakes on new residential developments for a while.
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
67868 posts
Posted on 8/15/16 at 9:53 am to
quote:

people trying to cash in on this, in my opinion it only really works if you already have a house plus one listed.


This is my situation. I listed last week but no, I'm not going to try and take advantage and raise the price.

It's not BR property, but I know one that is coming up this fall and it did not flood.
Posted by heartbreakTiger
grinding for my grinders
Member since Jan 2008
138974 posts
Posted on 8/15/16 at 9:59 am to
I would bet those moves are temporary. It would lose the br market and possibly take some backlash if they moved for good.
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
101919 posts
Posted on 8/15/16 at 10:22 am to
My neighborhood didn't flood at all, there is one for sale now and it wouldn't bother me at all if they ended up selling high and raising the comps.

I doubt it goes up much though.
Posted by Asgard Device
The Daedalus
Member since Apr 2011
11562 posts
Posted on 8/15/16 at 10:36 am to
It'll take a while for trust to be there. The houses just flooded but for many they were not in the 100 years flood zone and likely will not flood again in our lifetime.

This was a 1 in 1000 years flood.
Posted by baldona
Florida
Member since Feb 2016
20444 posts
Posted on 8/15/16 at 10:38 am to
If someone's house is high and dry what is so wrong with taking advantage of that? I mean it's legitimately a better value. Of course there will be a short spike as anyone house shopping right now will have a lot less options because a certain percentage of homes for sale will need flood repairs.

That's life, I fail to see what is wrong with the situation.
Posted by heartbreakTiger
grinding for my grinders
Member since Jan 2008
138974 posts
Posted on 8/15/16 at 10:40 am to
unless you are looking to move from the area, the house spike wont help when you buy high elsewhere.

Posted by SG_Geaux
Beautiful St George
Member since Aug 2004
77964 posts
Posted on 8/15/16 at 10:51 am to
quote:

unless you are looking to move from the area, the house spike wont help when you buy high elsewhere


That is exactly what I said. I am sure I could make a huge profit if I sold my place. But unless I am willing to move away or rent an apartment what good does it really do?
Posted by Mr. Blutarski
Hattiesburg, MS
Member since Oct 2012
1756 posts
Posted on 8/15/16 at 5:48 pm to
Prices went up almost 250% in a month. It didn't have anything to do with wanting to live by the beach.
Posted by member12
Bob's Country Bunker
Member since May 2008
32095 posts
Posted on 8/15/16 at 5:58 pm to
quote:


I recall that after Katrina there was a spike in house prices for intact homes in Baton Rouge and the Nothshore


There will be a short term spike in rental housing and real estate that's either undamaged or repaired the next 6-10 months.

Baton Rouge is lucky none of the major business centers like downtown, Exxon, or even LSU were greatly impacted....if at all.
This post was edited on 8/15/16 at 6:00 pm
Posted by Overbrook
Member since May 2013
6088 posts
Posted on 8/15/16 at 6:02 pm to
Well I'm with you; just because they can legally gouge doesn't mean that they should or that it's the right thing go do. One factor, however, is that Ascension Parish has scant little rental property. Apartment complexes seem to be the only thing they zone; plus there are so many developments that allow you to get in at a mortgage under $900 a month that the margins for rentals aren't there I guess.

BR and Ascension real estate spiked for a while because NOLA was shut down or 2 months. BR won't be shut down, so I expect dry real estate in BR to spike for a while.

I have a 3 bedroom on the market in Lafayette, in a nice, convenient neighborhood that was dry. I'm not raising the price.
This post was edited on 8/15/16 at 6:03 pm
Posted by wadewilson
Member since Sep 2009
36533 posts
Posted on 8/15/16 at 6:06 pm to
quote:

Massive amount of movement to NOLA & Houston


Seriously. If people are going to artificially frick the real estate market up just because they're greedy and know they can get away with it, frick Louisiana. Get out, move to Texas.

Let's see how the state handles it when a large portion of their working young leaves the state and become producers for another state.
Posted by member12
Bob's Country Bunker
Member since May 2008
32095 posts
Posted on 8/15/16 at 6:28 pm to
quote:

Let's see how the state handles it when a large portion of their working young leaves the state and become producers for another state


You mean even more than usual?

Kidding aside......none of the city's major employment base was impacted. For that, we should be thankful. People will be scrambling for a few months to make repairs and find temporary housing.....but I think life will go back to normal very quickly.
Posted by Halftrack
The Wild Blue Yonder
Member since Apr 2015
2763 posts
Posted on 8/15/16 at 6:33 pm to
Livingston Parish will come to a screeching halt as to new demand. Baton Rouge will go up in demand.
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
68199 posts
Posted on 8/15/16 at 6:40 pm to
quote:

Let's see how the state handles it when a large portion of their working young leaves the state and become producers for another state.


1982 says "hi."
Posted by ihometiger
Member since Dec 2013
12475 posts
Posted on 8/15/16 at 6:47 pm to
Big difference between New Orleans (Katrina) and Baton Rouge (Big Flood) is the significant difference in numbers of people who had flood insurance in New Orleans. The percentage of people who owned a home and had flood insurance was around 80% due to required flood insurance for those with mortgages. if only 25% of the residents only have flood insurance the impact for a housing spike will be a lot less pronounced.
Posted by ChEgrad
Member since Nov 2012
3263 posts
Posted on 8/15/16 at 7:02 pm to
quote:

I hope it doesn't happen again. What a way to take advantage of people when they are rock bottom. My daughter lost her house in Katrina. She wanted to find a place in BR to be near us, but the closest she could find was a filthy trailer in Church Point for $2000/month!!! Hope the owner burns in hell for a long time.


Without high prices (market rates) then people who may just want something out of convenience and not true need may buy up resources that would otherwise be available to those who really need it. Prices regulate supply and demand and ensure that all needs are met - better than government controls. See Venezuela for how price controls work.
Posted by member12
Bob's Country Bunker
Member since May 2008
32095 posts
Posted on 8/15/16 at 7:02 pm to
quote:

Massive amount of movement to NOLA & Houston areas right now by businesses and people who flooded


I think this is wishful thinking on your part. It's not reality.
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 8/15/16 at 7:05 pm to
quote:

I'm saying many national corporate decisions are being or have been made to relocate out of Baton Rouge.


To Houston? Where it flooded there earlier this year?
Posted by dewster
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
25342 posts
Posted on 8/15/16 at 7:08 pm to
quote:

I'm saying many national corporate decisions are being or have been made to relocate out of Baton Rouge


And move to Houston?.....to trade one flood threat for another.
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