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Started By
Message
re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine
Posted on 8/24/16 at 2:52 pm to Bama and Beer
Posted on 8/24/16 at 2:52 pm to Bama and Beer
quote:
Well this shite died quick
Just wait until the next gfs or euro update and the chaos will resume
4
Posted on 8/24/16 at 2:54 pm to CuseTiger
When are they coming out with new ones?
Posted on 8/24/16 at 2:54 pm to CuseTiger
When is the next update? How often do they update??
Posted on 8/24/16 at 2:54 pm to CuseTiger
Wwl saying its getting its shite together, but backs it up by basically saying theres nothing to support its getting its shite together
Posted on 8/24/16 at 2:59 pm to LakeViewLSU
next GFS run begins around 4:30pm next EURO won't be until 12:45 am tonight
Posted on 8/24/16 at 3:00 pm to SohCahToa
Probably wise to wait and see how it acts when it gets over scorching, shallow, open water before we draft up an obituary. I don't think anyone ever predicted it to grow exponentially squatting over a rocky archipelago
#1000
#1000
This post was edited on 8/24/16 at 3:02 pm
Posted on 8/24/16 at 3:01 pm to Bama and Beer
Just wait if any run shifts back west tonight this thread will pick back up in a hurry
Posted on 8/24/16 at 3:02 pm to Riseupfromtherubble
The east shift. (Not that this is necessarily going to be correct)
This post was edited on 8/24/16 at 3:02 pm
Posted on 8/24/16 at 3:02 pm to CuseTiger
quote:
Just wait until the next gfs or euro update and the chaos will resume
Yep. Category 5 right up the Potomac on the next run. Puckered assholes for everyone!
Posted on 8/24/16 at 3:03 pm to Riseupfromtherubble
Euro ensembles are sticking with the westerly track so far. Keeping a strong ridge over the ohio valley... kinda what I expected.
This post was edited on 8/24/16 at 3:05 pm
Posted on 8/24/16 at 3:03 pm to LakeViewLSU
quote:
Jim Cantore needs no practice. Dudes a vet. He can skip training camp.
Jersey Shore vet:
Posted on 8/24/16 at 3:04 pm to TigerstuckinMS
quote:
Yep. Category 5 right up the Potomac on the next run. Puckered assholes for everyone!
Media coverage would be through the roof!
Posted on 8/24/16 at 3:05 pm to baytiger
Saw that so still a lot of uncertainty
Posted on 8/24/16 at 3:06 pm to TigerstuckinMS
I will say that the model consensus is pretty darn good. Look how many have this turning N and staying over FL or very close. I am quick to dismiss the Euro for going N so quickly but the other models tell me that they can't ALL be wrong.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 3:12 pm to BigB0882
quote:
models tell me that they can't ALL be wrong.
:insertkatrinamodelpicture:
Posted on 8/24/16 at 3:13 pm to BigB0882
quote:
I will say that the model consensus is pretty darn good. Look how many have this turning N and staying over FL or very close. I am quick to dismiss the Euro for going N so quickly but the other models tell me that they can't ALL be wrong.
Yeah, but the suite can still shift pretty quick.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 3:13 pm to baytiger
quote:
ensembles are sticking with the westerly track so far. Keeping a strong ridge over the ohio valley... kinda what I expected.
So, what's the difference between the euro ensembles and the ECMWF? I thought each model was a collection of all the ensembles, like an average of sorts.
This post was edited on 8/24/16 at 3:14 pm
Posted on 8/24/16 at 3:14 pm to baytiger
quote:
Euro ensembles are sticking with the westerly track so far. Keeping a strong ridge over the ohio valley... kinda what I expected.
It will be interesting to flip through the individual members later. Possibly that western Gulf disturbance and the westward shift of Gaston driving some of the changes.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 3:18 pm to baytiger
quote:
Euro ensembles are sticking with the westerly track so far. Keeping a strong ridge over the ohio valley... kinda what I expected.
Baytiger, can you post a link or picture of this? Thanks
Posted on 8/24/16 at 3:21 pm to rds dc
This is the email I just got on the track...
Have it up to a cat 2 late Tuesday / early Wednesday... FYI
Have it up to a cat 2 late Tuesday / early Wednesday... FYI
This post was edited on 8/24/16 at 3:25 pm
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