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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:21 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:21 am to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
The LLC doesn't have much in the way of clouds/convection around it. I wonder if NHC will hold off for now.
it's possible but they've initialized for less. I think they'll pull the trigger just so they can reference the name instead of "invest 99l" and stop the "what does invest mean?" questions every time they bring it up.
1
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:22 am to AU24
quote:Someone drank Jobu's rum.
What has Louisiana done to piss off the voodoo gods?
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:22 am to baytiger
quote:
looking at RGB imagery there's some hint at a lower level circulation NE of St. Croix
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:23 am to Prominentwon
quote:Appears that way. Lost my camp in Rita.
Same fricking track as Rita.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:23 am to TigerstuckinMS
bought this T-Shirt in a small shop in Cleveland before the Saints game a few years back.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:27 am to HubbaBubba
TBH if it stayed on that track I'm pretty sure SE Louisiana would still get a shite ton of water depending on how fast it moves. If it stays on that track I'm hoping it hits further west to Texas. Sorry Texas but you guys need to take one for the team. Ideally it hits east but I honestly wouldn't doubt this thing keeps moving westward based on the trends past 5 days or so. I've yet to see it move eastward in the models...going to be interesting what they predict once it gets some circulation and atmospheric conditions.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:28 am to Hulkklogan
quote:
Right but why doesn't the US spend more money and have the better facilities vs Euro? It would seem like the US has a more vested interest in these storms..
NOAA has just brought more computing power online and that should start to remove one of the major bottlenecks. There are plans to replace the GFS with a new version with a new dynamic core. This should make for a better global model and help the downstream models that use the GFS for boundary layer parameterization.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:28 am to deuce985
quote:
TBH if it stayed on that track I'm pretty sure SE Louisiana would still get a shite ton of water depending on how fast it moves. If it stays on that track I'm hoping it hits further west to Texas. Sorry Texas but you guys need to take one for the team. Ideally it hits east but I honestly wouldn't doubt this thing keeps moving westward based on the trends past 5 days or so. I've yet to see it move eastward in the models...going to be interesting what they predict once it gets some circulation and atmospheric conditions.
as long as it isn't stalling and moving at good pace, i'm not overly worried about precipitation flooding. Coastal flooding is obvious issue depending upon landfall location of places in LA.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:35 am to baytiger
quote:
it's possible but they've initialized for less. I think they'll pull the trigger just so they can reference the name instead of "invest 99l" and stop the "what does invest mean?" questions every time they bring it up.
I think if they find ANYthing to support it, they will name it. Too much chatter about it and too much potentially at stake. Naming this sucker will get people paying attention, which at this point, needs to happen. Not freak out, not panic, but pay attention.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:38 am to GEAUXmedic
Doesn't Bastardi have a reputation for exaggeration? He seemed to 5-6 years ago.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:38 am to BigB0882
quote:
The GFS takes this out to sea and basically misses FL completely.
what am i missing here?
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:39 am to BigB0882
Don't think any of the models know WTF's going on yet but hoping GFS turns out accurate.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:41 am to Jake88
Yes indeed although I haven't paid attention to him lately. He was a super hyper of tropical systems.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:42 am to BigB0882
I'd actually find it more positive it keeps trending west than a deviation to the east. When it gets circulation if the models show a slightly eastward track I'll start to get really worried. If they staying moving west it tells me Texas is in trouble and maybe possibly Mexico who knows.
I'd rather be in the crosshairs now than 5 days from now. Seemingly everyone has been in the crosshairs at some point in the models.
I'd rather be in the crosshairs now than 5 days from now. Seemingly everyone has been in the crosshairs at some point in the models.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:42 am to Chad504boy
quote:
what am i missing here?
that was last night's run numbnuts
tzimme > chad
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:43 am to Chad504boy
No. seriously, this would be unimaginable for my peeps.......
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:44 am to Zach Lee To Amp Hill
quote:
that was last night's run numbnuts
what website ya'll using? that's from weatherunderground that i used to use a lot.
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:44 am to CharlesLSU
When does the new euro come out
Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:46 am to LSURussian
quote:
Earlier you said I was being a dick. Now you're saying I'm an arse. Please make up your mind. I need to know if I'm cumming or going
Both.
quote:
The Drama Queen Factor in this thread is off the scale.
Is it, or are you just taking pot shots at anyone who tries to ask a question? We get it. You're Mr. Cool and totally unfazed, but surely you're capable of delivering that message without being such a condescending vagina. (dick, a-hole, vagina - you're on a role
)Posted on 8/24/16 at 11:47 am to geauxtigers87
EURO will start running in about an hour from now
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