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Is Hornbeck Offshore (HOS) all but done?

Posted on 6/6/17 at 6:42 pm
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
101452 posts
Posted on 6/6/17 at 6:42 pm
Been riding it down for a while. Can I just kiss this one bye bye at this point?

Anyone here with any more hopeful insight?
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
80780 posts
Posted on 6/6/17 at 6:44 pm to
They have been cooking the books for a bit
Posted by juice4lsu
Member since Dec 2007
3695 posts
Posted on 6/6/17 at 10:37 pm to
I think Hornbeck is a great company in a struggling industry, and particularly how they do business.

Offshore is now the last thing to come back online. It is so much cheaper to start back on land. With new technologies such as fracking, and oil no where near the highs of a few years ago, it is hard to see how they begin to make money again.
Posted by Ole War Skule
North Shore
Member since Sep 2003
3409 posts
Posted on 6/7/17 at 4:13 am to
quote:

They have been cooking the books for a bit


Is that speculation or do you have something specific?
This post was edited on 6/7/17 at 4:14 am
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
19607 posts
Posted on 6/7/17 at 5:07 am to
Word on the street.

Also as someone who works in DW GOM, they are toast, as is alot of the DW service guys. Id imagine we are going to see some big shake ups with the drilling contractors in the next couple of years.
Posted by Ole War Skule
North Shore
Member since Sep 2003
3409 posts
Posted on 6/7/17 at 5:19 am to
HOS has enough cash to last through 2019, possibly longer if creditors cooperate, which they may have to do since liquidation won't bring them anything. They are certainly having a terrible time with the downtown, but have plenty of time to restructure before D-day.

Bankruptcy of TDW could result in consolidation and bring an increase to day rates

I wouldn't start writing their obit just yet.
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
19607 posts
Posted on 6/7/17 at 5:25 am to
Hope you are right.
Posted by cave canem
pullarius dominus
Member since Oct 2012
12186 posts
Posted on 6/7/17 at 5:51 am to
Is Hornbeck Offshore (HOS) all but done?

Fill in the blank _____________ offshore is all but done.

The GOM deepwater game is going to continue downhill for quite a while and any companies that depend on that market will be toast.

More than enough oil can be extracted at a far lower price point, the shale plays have changed the rules and the proliferation of the techniques and technology will change the entire game.
Posted by TigerDog83
Member since Oct 2005
8274 posts
Posted on 6/7/17 at 7:57 am to
I saw where Rooster Petroleum/Chet Morrison filed for bankruptcy in the last few days. Can some of these guys stay alive or is the GOM market going to shrink down to only a small few service players?
Posted by Fat Harry
70115
Member since Mar 2005
2216 posts
Posted on 6/7/17 at 8:23 am to
Shallow water and small boat companies are done. See Rooster.

Hornbeck, Chouest, Harvey Gulf all have brand new PSV vessels that are not stacked. Someone has to service the existing deepwater facilities. That being said, I expect consolidation in the industry.
Posted by cave canem
pullarius dominus
Member since Oct 2012
12186 posts
Posted on 6/7/17 at 8:56 am to
quote:

Hornbeck, Chouest, Harvey Gulf all have brand new PSV vessels that are not stacked. Someone has to service the existing deepwater facilities..




While true there is not enough meat on those bones for many to survive., too much downward pressure on margins.

quote:

That being said, I expect consolidation in the industry


There will be massive consolidation with the majority of the vessels being sold off and re-positioned overseas to replace aging fleets worldwide, the sales prices will not be kind. JMHO
Posted by Damone
FoCo
Member since Aug 2016
32791 posts
Posted on 6/7/17 at 9:22 am to
Didn't Hornbeck get boned by dumping a ton into new vessel production right before the downturn in the offshore market?
Posted by TJG210
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2006
28340 posts
Posted on 6/7/17 at 9:42 am to
quote:

Chet Morrison filed for bankruptcy


Are you sure about this? I googled and couldn't find anything.
Posted by WavinWilly
Wavin Away in Sharlo
Member since Oct 2010
8782 posts
Posted on 6/7/17 at 9:47 am to
quote:

Is that speculation or do you have something specific?



Word on the street is they are under investigation... by whom I don't know. In fact it's on their yahoo stock page.

But if you call into their earnings calls you know they are doing some fancy financial footwork and giving bullshite reasoning.
The entire Offshore market is in the tank. Companies can barely sell boats for scrap metal prices. They aren't working or earning any money either. So all in all the value of an OSV has plummeted to almost nothing. By some interesting mental gymnastics, Todd Hornbeck and company use that as a way to say there is no way to fairly value their assets (boats). And as such they haven't really depreciated the value.

Why, you ask? Because their debt covenants are tied to assets, as far as I know.
This post was edited on 6/7/17 at 9:49 am
Posted by poule deau
Member since Jan 2009
1405 posts
Posted on 6/7/17 at 10:01 am to
quote:

Chet Morrison filed for bankruptcy


quote:

Are you sure about this?


+1

I occasionally do business with them and this is the first I hear of this as well.
Posted by TigerDog83
Member since Oct 2005
8274 posts
Posted on 6/7/17 at 10:01 am to
quote:

Are you sure about this? I googled and couldn't find anything.



Rooster Bankruptcy

Best link I could find that's not a pay article. I believe that Chet Morrison and Couchon had been rolled up as affiliates of Rooster - see the 6 affiliates the article mentions.

edit: Here is another article showing the entities

Rooster Entities CH 11
This post was edited on 6/7/17 at 10:03 am
Posted by Ole War Skule
North Shore
Member since Sep 2003
3409 posts
Posted on 6/7/17 at 10:30 am to
quote:

Word on the street is they are under investigation... by whom I don't know. In fact it's on their yahoo stock page.



That 'news' on the yahoo page is a press release by an ambulance chasing law firm. Means absolutely nothing.

As far as 'word on the street', my experience has been 90% of 'word on the street' is bullshite, so I wouldn't put any stock (ha ha) in that either.

My point is no one has any specific info about any wrongdoing of any kind at Hornbeck.

I do listen to the calls and Todd has been EXTREMELY direct and realistic in his projections, MUCH more so than some other companies in similar conditions.

HOS will have a very, very difficult time surviving, but it won't be due to any book-cooking or other wrongdoing.
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
19607 posts
Posted on 6/7/17 at 11:04 am to
Yup and the ones of those they have on contract right now arent even getting enough on dayrates to cover minimal operating expenses.
Posted by Athanatos
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2010
8141 posts
Posted on 6/7/17 at 5:02 pm to
quote:

Shallow water and small boat companies are done. See Rooster.


This is too broad a statement and is inaccurate to an extent. Inland operators are going to be fine.
Posted by crazycubes
Member since Jan 2016
5256 posts
Posted on 6/7/17 at 9:00 pm to
HOS had a boatload of cash to hang out for a while till 2019. The question becomes, will the oilfield come back before 2019? If no, then HOS may be history.
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