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re: Is Hornbeck Offshore (HOS) all but done?

Posted on 6/8/17 at 5:14 am to
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
19600 posts
Posted on 6/8/17 at 5:14 am to
Unless a war breaks out not a chance. In fact we are liable to see to lows in 2018.
Posted by tigerbaittrick
Member since Jan 2010
7265 posts
Posted on 6/8/17 at 7:29 am to
Been riding this wave down from $10.. I like to think HOS is not done.
Posted by Ole War Skule
North Shore
Member since Sep 2003
3409 posts
Posted on 6/16/17 at 5:09 am to
Someone believes they'll make it...increased from 200 to 300 million and extended from 2020 to 2023

big bet on HOS

terrible rates, but gives them 3 additional years
Posted by juice4lsu
Member since Dec 2007
3695 posts
Posted on 6/16/17 at 8:45 am to
quote:

Someone believes they'll make it


If anyone will, they will. But it just won't be rewarding for stock holders, and is definitely nothing to get excited about.
Posted by Ole War Skule
North Shore
Member since Sep 2003
3409 posts
Posted on 6/16/17 at 9:15 am to
quote:

definitely nothing to get excited about.


has moved from 1.5 to 2.5...I bought calls when it was at 1.5, about tripled my money, I'll go ahead get excited
Posted by Douglas Quaid
Mars
Member since Mar 2010
4098 posts
Posted on 6/16/17 at 10:17 am to
quote:

Someone hopes they'll make it


The lenders really have no choice but to extend and pretend when the alternative is bankruptcy.
Posted by Ole War Skule
North Shore
Member since Sep 2003
3409 posts
Posted on 6/16/17 at 11:26 am to
quote:

The lenders really have no choice but to extend and pretend when the alternative is bankruptcy.



Pay attention junior.

They ADDED 100 million to the line of credit.

They certainly didn't 'have' to do that, especially this far in advance. Maybe they know something you and I don't.
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
19600 posts
Posted on 6/16/17 at 11:49 am to
Well if its a rebound in the offshore market they are wrong.
Posted by WavinWilly
Wavin Away in Sharlo
Member since Oct 2010
8782 posts
Posted on 6/16/17 at 11:58 am to
None of this solves the supply demand problem. There are just way too many damn boats. There are boats tied up in backwaters all over south Louisiana of companies I've never even heard of.

Posted by Douglas Quaid
Mars
Member since Mar 2010
4098 posts
Posted on 6/16/17 at 12:00 pm to
quote:

They ADDED 100 million to the line of credit.


By offering up about 70% of their fleet as collateral.


It's all here is this little SEC filing.


Posted by Ole War Skule
North Shore
Member since Sep 2003
3409 posts
Posted on 6/16/17 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

Well if its a rebound in the offshore market they are wrong.



agreed
Posted by Douglas Quaid
Mars
Member since Mar 2010
4098 posts
Posted on 6/16/17 at 12:47 pm to
I hope you didn't actually think the lenders just gave HOS $100M as a gesture of goodwill...


Posted by Ole War Skule
North Shore
Member since Sep 2003
3409 posts
Posted on 6/16/17 at 2:07 pm to
quote:

I hope you didn't actually think the lenders just gave HOS $100M as a gesture of goodwill...



well no sh*t sherlock.....I hope you don't think they lent them another 100mm on boats that can't be sold at practically any price if they didn't have 'some' confidence in their ability to make it..

good grief, just give it a rest....it's a positive development for the company which is obviously still in trouble
Posted by juice4lsu
Member since Dec 2007
3695 posts
Posted on 6/16/17 at 2:14 pm to
quote:

None of this solves the supply demand problem.


This, and the fact that it is now far less expensive to re-deploy drilling inshore than offshore.

Well done with your options play, OWS. Personally, I'm an investor not a trader, so that's why I believe Hornbeck to be in a very tough environment.
This post was edited on 6/16/17 at 2:15 pm
Posted by Douglas Quaid
Mars
Member since Mar 2010
4098 posts
Posted on 6/16/17 at 4:10 pm to
Well I just wanted to be sure that you were paying close enough attention because you said "they ADDED 100 million to the line of credit" when in fact they mortgaged the majority of their fleet in exchange for that line of credit. There is a pretty big difference between the two.
Posted by Ole War Skule
North Shore
Member since Sep 2003
3409 posts
Posted on 6/16/17 at 5:48 pm to
quote:

I'm an investor not a trader, so that's why I believe Hornbeck to be in a very tough environment.


I am also an investor with 95% of my portfolio. I buy and hold for years and years. Everyone once and a while I gamble with a little....and it was a gamble
Posted by Ole War Skule
North Shore
Member since Sep 2003
3409 posts
Posted on 6/16/17 at 5:49 pm to
quote:

"they ADDED 100 million to the line of credit" when in fact they mortgaged the majority of their fleet in exchange for that line of credit. There is a pretty big difference between the two.


You are correct.
Posted by dkreller
Laffy
Member since Jan 2009
30302 posts
Posted on 6/17/17 at 6:30 pm to
I read an article about Mexico opening up to foreign E&Ps getting into deepwater but not having the infrastructure to support it. It discussed using Fourchon to suppport exploration. Could that help companies like HOS?
Posted by cave canem
pullarius dominus
Member since Oct 2012
12186 posts
Posted on 6/17/17 at 10:39 pm to
quote:

I read an article about Mexico opening up to foreign E&Ps getting into deepwater but not having the infrastructure to support it. It discussed using Fourchon to suppport exploration. Could that help companies like HOS?



Simple answer is No, it is not an issue with available leases, the issue is deepwater exploration and production is not economically feasible in the current environment.

These projects are long term investments that can take a decade or more to actually turn a profit on from planning to production.

Today's supply demand curves coupled with tech advances makes tying up billions in long term projects a bit dicey.

Posted by dkreller
Laffy
Member since Jan 2009
30302 posts
Posted on 6/17/17 at 11:50 pm to
quote:

These projects are long term investments that can take a decade or more to actually turn a profit on from planning to production.

I completely understand that and it seems for that reason, Mexico should not be hindered in the least bit by current oil prices if they're serious about exploring and producing deepwater assets, right?
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