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re: BOIL has become predictable

Posted on 10/2/14 at 9:54 am to
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 10/2/14 at 9:54 am to
JHC. One week too late. I told you guys.

Oh well, opportunity to load up on winter longs I guess.
Posted by b-rab2
N. Louisiana
Member since Dec 2005
12575 posts
Posted on 10/2/14 at 9:55 am to
Im just now starting to follow N gas.. I am looking for a way to play the Oil trade.. I did make quite a bit a few months ago on the options on XLE.. I wonder where the bottom is on oil?
Posted by Ole War Skule
North Shore
Member since Sep 2003
3409 posts
Posted on 10/2/14 at 10:06 am to
I added to my position as well...really blew the put option...bought at .12, chickened out at .15, it's now at .50
Posted by Ole War Skule
North Shore
Member since Sep 2003
3409 posts
Posted on 10/2/14 at 10:07 am to
quote:

One week too late. I told you guys.


you've been right more than wrong on this
Posted by I Love Bama
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
37694 posts
Posted on 10/2/14 at 10:07 am to
quote:

bought at .12, chickened out at .15, it's now at .50




I can't handle the emotional highs and lows with the options (although trading DGAZ and UGAZ feels similar).
Posted by I Love Bama
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
37694 posts
Posted on 10/3/14 at 2:44 pm to
quote:

715 shares at 13.95 executed


I'm out.

715 shares at 15.15 for a 8.6% gain.
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 10/3/14 at 2:55 pm to
Good hit. Roll Tide.
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 10/3/14 at 2:58 pm to
Rawl tahd!!
Posted by I Love Bama
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
37694 posts
Posted on 10/3/14 at 2:59 pm to
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 10/3/14 at 3:03 pm to
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 10/3/14 at 3:09 pm to
SEC guys peeing themselves after last night I bet.
Posted by L S Usetheforce
Member since Jun 2004
22751 posts
Posted on 10/3/14 at 3:11 pm to
quote:

715 shares at 15.15 for a 8.6% gain.


Good thing they are much cockier in football.......good job.....
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 10/6/14 at 8:17 am to
Decent long opportunities this morning it looks like.
Posted by rintintin
Life is Life
Member since Nov 2008
16158 posts
Posted on 10/6/14 at 10:03 am to
Today is one of those days I don't even want to look at my account. Ouch all around.
Posted by jlu03
San Diego
Member since Jul 2012
3320 posts
Posted on 10/6/14 at 12:29 pm to
Picked up quite a bit of UGAZ @ 13.85 this morning. Let the freezing weather commence.
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 10/8/14 at 8:16 am to
Looks like another buying opportunity.
Posted by I Love Bama
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
37694 posts
Posted on 10/8/14 at 9:44 am to
Would you mind explaining the "decay" a fund like this suffers from?
Posted by sneakytiger
Member since Oct 2007
2471 posts
Posted on 10/8/14 at 9:51 am to
Bama, this is one of the better articles I've read explaining it. LINK
Posted by I Love Bama
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
37694 posts
Posted on 10/8/14 at 9:53 am to
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 10/8/14 at 10:32 am to
Depends which ETF you're talking about. Generally the commodity ETF's suffer decay due to their constant rolling of future's contracts. Leveraged ETF's for some of the reasons in the link above, and ETN's are an entirely different set of things to be wary of.
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