re: UF Series Takeaways

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You mean other than the fact that a run expectancy is greater to not bunt than it is to bunt?

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I thought the same thing until I read the definition of "run expectancy" in ell's first link.

Run expectancy is the number of runs expected to be scored in an inning based on certain situations.

It's NOT the probability of scoring ONE run, which is more applicable to our discussion about scoring a run to tie a game in the last inning to extend the game.

It's sort of counter-intuitive but the odds of scoring one run is lower while the number of multiple runs scored is higher in the "man on second with no outs versus a man on third with one out" bunt situation we've been debating.

At least, that's what the chart ell linked to in his second link shows.

Go figure....

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OTOH, you have to play small ball to win in that big park in Omaha. No use bitching about it, you have to adjust.

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The. He should bunt runners over down by one with no outs in the ninth.