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re: Interesting perceptions vs. reality regarding the Miles and Orgeron offenses
Posted on 10/25/16 at 1:35 pm to mostbesttigerfanever
Posted on 10/25/16 at 1:35 pm to mostbesttigerfanever
quote:
who cares how the O lines up. the bottom line is ball distribution, especially through the air
multiple TE's with catches
multiple WR's with catches
RB's out of the backfield
It's more than that though, because that isn't substantially different under either coach. I think it has more to do with more guys running routes in the passing game. As a result, when you line up and you're going to run it, the defense still has to respect Jeter, Moreau, and Smith as well as the RBs out of the backfield.
Defenses are still putting 8 in the box, but that extra guy or two is a DB and not a lineman or LB now.
Posted on 10/25/16 at 1:40 pm to slackster
quote:
I've seen people suggest it is the result of significantly more plays, yet LSU is averaging less than 4 plays more with Orgeron than they did with Miles - hardly a noticeable number over the course of a game.
How is it LSU's fault that Southern Miss let them score on basically every play they had in the third quarter and finished with only 43 plays as a result? That outlier is shaping the numbers. LSU in competitive games is getting more plays.
quote:
Others have suggested it is more passing plays - LSU is averaging less than half an attempt more with Orgeron than Miles. In fact, LSU is actually passing the ball 40.4% of the time with Orgeron and passed it 41.9% of the time with Miles.
You equate passing in high leverage situations where LSU is down with no time remaining with passing in normally obvious run situations. You continue to miss the point as many pro-Miles people do. Passing when it is an obvious necessity wasn't what people were clamoring for.
I'm glad we had a bunch of attempts against Mississippi State before half when we were trying to score (6 attempts, to say nothing of the botching of the clock). That's not the kind of passing attempts anyone is talking about. I'm similarly glad we let everyone on the team throw the ball against State on the tricky trick offense we installed for them. That's not what anyone's talking about.
I'm glad we passed the entire final drive against Auburn to try and win (14 pass plays called). Those aren't the kind of attempts we are talking about and those aren't the types of attempts Coach O's team has engaged in.
This continues to be the oversimplification of the issue. Reducing Miles to four games to overlook his obvious deficiencies in balance and in overall play running an opportunities for additional plays. Miles wasn't the coach for 4 games. Comparing two games where he had to be pass heavy because he trailed with an outlier game where LSU scored at will on very few plays does nothing to further the understanding of what we're seeing or what we used to see.
This post was edited on 10/25/16 at 2:38 pm
Posted on 10/25/16 at 1:44 pm to slackster
The problems were never the plays. It was the timing of calls and failure to execute them.
Coach O isn't turning shite into gold. This team is already stacked. He is just getting the best out of his players each time they take the field. That's what a good coach does. Miles used to have it but he lost it. What you're seeing now is nothing more than that intangible aspect of coaching that goes beyond the film room and that has been absent from LSU for a long time.
Coach O isn't turning shite into gold. This team is already stacked. He is just getting the best out of his players each time they take the field. That's what a good coach does. Miles used to have it but he lost it. What you're seeing now is nothing more than that intangible aspect of coaching that goes beyond the film room and that has been absent from LSU for a long time.
Posted on 10/25/16 at 1:52 pm to therick711
quote:
This continues to be the oversimplification of the issue. Reducing Miles to four games to overlook his obvious deficiencies in balance and in overall play running an opportunities. Miles wasn't the coach for 4 games. Comparing two games where he had to be pass heavy because he trailed with an outlier game where LSU scored at will on very few plays does nothing to further the understanding of what we're seeing or what we used to see.
I'm not trying to make a case for or against anything. I'm trying to lay out facts that help explain the differences, if possible, and other facts that help dispel some myths.
I laid out first half passing tendencies earlier. I posted first down passing statistics too. I'm just trying to engage in some discussion about whether or not we can quantify the differences outside of total yards, yards per play, and scoring offense. I see the same thing you see, but I also like to look at the numbers to prove the difference.
Posted on 10/25/16 at 1:54 pm to slackster
You are spreading misinformation about plays run because you fail to account for an outlier performance against Southern Miss. Using a data point where we kicked Southern Miss' dick in on 43 plays (almost 11 yards per play in that game) is just a skew for skews sake. By way of comparison, LSU got 8 yards per play against Ole Miss.
This post was edited on 10/25/16 at 1:59 pm
Posted on 10/25/16 at 2:05 pm to sjmabry
quote:
spreading the ball out
and actually throwing it to a TE makes a LB or S follow him out of the box instead of just honing in on the 1 or 2 recievers in routes
ETA: Germans. Hadnt read all the comments at time of post
This post was edited on 10/25/16 at 2:06 pm
Posted on 10/25/16 at 2:14 pm to therick711
quote:
This continues to be the oversimplification of the issue. Reducing Miles to four games to overlook his obvious deficiencies in balance and in overall play running an opportunities. Miles wasn't the coach for 4 games. Comparing two games where he had to be pass heavy because he trailed with an outlier game where LSU scored at will on very few plays does nothing to further the understanding of what we're seeing or what we used to see.
Great post.
The OP is full of crap.
Posted on 10/25/16 at 3:03 pm to 7nette
jd moore had a stinger during the game.
Posted on 10/25/16 at 3:10 pm to slackster
The difference is that we pass to the 2 TEs in the 2 TE set.
Posted on 10/25/16 at 3:12 pm to kmwlsu
How do you think the defence would perform if we had a majority of possessions in the first half that were three and out? When either the defence or offence is not performing well the statistics won't necessarily reflect an accurate picture.
When Lee was throwing all those pick sixes, the offence was trying to cover for Maleveto's meerkat defence.
When Lee was throwing all those pick sixes, the offence was trying to cover for Maleveto's meerkat defence.
Posted on 10/25/16 at 3:19 pm to GRTiger
Chart the defenses we face. I bet the 8-9 man boxes has been cut in half at least.
Posted on 10/25/16 at 3:41 pm to tigerMike
I haven't seen it mentioned, but my perception is that our offense is more productive passing because we are giving our QB easy and effective pass plays. We use a lot of short and intermediate passes and actually using the middle of the field at times. This has always been a complaint against miles in the past. We either ran the ball up the middle or was throwing it 20-30 yards down the field.
Posted on 10/25/16 at 4:03 pm to slackster
The offense is being operated differently. I promise you. It's not just execution.
Exhibit A: The first 1:30 of this video (1st quarter of Ole Miss game)
Etling vs. Ole Miss
Exhibit B: The first 1:30 of this video (1st half of Wisconsin game)
Harris vs. Wisky
Spoilers...
Etling in 1st quarter vs. Ole Miss:
-9 passes
-3 times RB targeted
-5 times WR targeted
-1 time TE targeted
-2 passes where intended receiver is 10+ yards downfield
Harris in 1st half vs. Wisky:
-7 passes
-0 times RB targeted
-7 times WR targeted
-0 times TE targeted
-4 passes where intended receiver is 10+ yards downfield (granted, 2 of these were when the clock was running out in the first half.
Exhibit A: The first 1:30 of this video (1st quarter of Ole Miss game)
Etling vs. Ole Miss
Exhibit B: The first 1:30 of this video (1st half of Wisconsin game)
Harris vs. Wisky
Spoilers...
Etling in 1st quarter vs. Ole Miss:
-9 passes
-3 times RB targeted
-5 times WR targeted
-1 time TE targeted
-2 passes where intended receiver is 10+ yards downfield
Harris in 1st half vs. Wisky:
-7 passes
-0 times RB targeted
-7 times WR targeted
-0 times TE targeted
-4 passes where intended receiver is 10+ yards downfield (granted, 2 of these were when the clock was running out in the first half.
Posted on 10/25/16 at 4:34 pm to therick711
quote:
You are spreading misinformation about plays run because you fail to account for an outlier performance against Southern Miss. Using a data point where we kicked Southern Miss' dick in on 43 plays (almost 11 yards per play in that game) is just a skew for skews sake. By way of comparison, LSU got 8 yards per play against Ole Miss.
So USM is an outlier but the 82 plays we ran against Mizzou should count? We ran 64 vs Ole Miss. Use that as the baseline if you want, but it is still 5 more plays a game than we were running.
I gave Orgeron credit for the impressive yards per play average overall. Should I discard the USM game from that metric?
Posted on 10/25/16 at 4:38 pm to uway
quote:
The OP is full of crap.
The OP is all factual. I broke it down to first downs only and also broke it down to the first half only. I'm accounting for all of the potential biases in the numbers. If you've got a better way to measure these things, I'm all ears.
Posted on 10/25/16 at 4:40 pm to slackster
The timing of the play calling is worlds apart. You can run all of the exact same plays but it takes knowing WHEN to run them.
Posted on 10/25/16 at 4:49 pm to slackster
I'd like to see the numbers broken down by half
Posted on 10/25/16 at 5:00 pm to slackster
Would love to see this just for first quarter. Once game is in hand, things change.
Posted on 10/25/16 at 5:01 pm to ShortyRob
quote:
I'd like to see the numbers broken down by half
OVerall on first half plays we are throwing the ball 46% of the time with Orgeron and 42% of the time with Miles this year. I'll have to check the 2nd half later.
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