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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 9/9/18 at 5:45 pm to PsychTiger
quote:
This storm dishonors her.
I'm convinced Katrina played a role in her death
she had been diagnosed with cancer a few months before Katrina hit... and then of course she couldn't get her treatments in Slidell for a few months after the storm hit(we actually rode the storm out at her house in Picayune... that's how smart we were)
she succumbed to the cancer a number of months later
This post was edited on 9/9/18 at 5:47 pm
Posted on 9/9/18 at 5:47 pm to crispyUGA
BHI could be completely destroyed. We just got back from there and a lot of folks were already planning to evacuate.
Posted on 9/9/18 at 5:52 pm to deltaland
quote:
Drive to Florence to escape Florence
Might be as close to coast that you can get in either state and be safe.
Posted on 9/9/18 at 6:06 pm to Furbs311
quote:
We love Bald Head, but don’t think that’s where I’d want to be towards the end of this week
Yeah, their planned arrival should be right after Flo rips through. They think I’m crying wolf, but at this point there might not be a ferry to even get them to the Island come Sunday.
Posted on 9/9/18 at 6:14 pm to GetCocky11
I posted the link to this thread on the SECRant Off-Topic Board.
Posted on 9/9/18 at 6:16 pm to crispyUGA
quote:
Yeah, their planned arrival should be right after Flo rips through. They think I’m crying wolf,
Crying wolf? The hurricane center has a pratcial direct hit of a cat 4 hurricane Thursday and it's a god damn island. Wouldn't be surprised if their hotel cancels given the likely impacts
Posted on 9/9/18 at 6:18 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
I follow Joe Bastardi on Twitter and he is saying Florence could be the worst natural disaster in recorded history with 3-4ft of rain in the Carolinas and VA.
I hope he is wrong.
I hope he is wrong.
Posted on 9/9/18 at 6:18 pm to Duke
071
ABNT20 KNHC 092258
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Sep 9 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Florence, located over the west-central Atlantic Ocean, on recently
upgraded Hurricane Helene, located southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands, and on Tropical Storm Isaac, located over the central
tropical Atlantic.
The combination of an upper-level trough and a tropical wave over
the northwestern Caribbean Sea is producing a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms between Cuba and Honduras.
The disturbance is forecast to move slowly west-northwestward to
northwestward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the
Yucatan peninsula during the next couple of days, with little or no
development expected due to unfavorable upper-level winds and land
interaction. However, upper-level winds are forecast to become a
little more conducive for development when the system moves across
the western Gulf of Mexico Wednesday through Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
I know Florence is the big news but the disturbance in the Caribbean
is up to 30% now
ABNT20 KNHC 092258
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Sep 9 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Florence, located over the west-central Atlantic Ocean, on recently
upgraded Hurricane Helene, located southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands, and on Tropical Storm Isaac, located over the central
tropical Atlantic.
The combination of an upper-level trough and a tropical wave over
the northwestern Caribbean Sea is producing a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms between Cuba and Honduras.
The disturbance is forecast to move slowly west-northwestward to
northwestward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the
Yucatan peninsula during the next couple of days, with little or no
development expected due to unfavorable upper-level winds and land
interaction. However, upper-level winds are forecast to become a
little more conducive for development when the system moves across
the western Gulf of Mexico Wednesday through Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
I know Florence is the big news but the disturbance in the Caribbean
is up to 30% now
Posted on 9/9/18 at 6:21 pm to lsuman25
Chicken should have opened a hurricane board. Tough to follow all of these different hurricanes in one thread.
Posted on 9/9/18 at 6:22 pm to crispyUGA
quote:
They think I’m crying wolf, but at this point there might not be a ferry to even get them to the Island come Sunday.
According to the geologist baw whose master's thesis was on the subject, there might not be an ISLAND come Sunday.
Posted on 9/9/18 at 6:23 pm to oOoLsUtIgErSoOo
I know it's crazy 2 weeks ago nothing now we are likely to have 3 hurricanes by the end of the night. Plus two other disturbances out there.
Posted on 9/9/18 at 6:38 pm to rds dc
Isn't that bad?
Posted on 9/9/18 at 6:40 pm to 50_Tiger
yes
Posted on 9/9/18 at 6:43 pm to rds dc
quote:
Pinhole eye?
Going with a hard maybe.
Posted on 9/9/18 at 6:53 pm to lsuman25
Prayers to folks in the path of that monster, the stalling out and flooding is what can really put the damage and cost to unimaginable numbers.
Posted on 9/9/18 at 6:56 pm to Duke
Any way to get some perspective on the size of this thing?
Posted on 9/9/18 at 7:00 pm to slackster
quote:
I appreciate it nonetheless. Based on your reply, I wonder if the area being shaped the way it is helps shape hurricanes instead. In other words, perhaps the Bermuda high exists the way it does because of the way the US east coast is shaped.
The Bermuda high shifts between Bermuda and the Azores due to a multitude of factors across the Atlantic that affect the thermodynamics of the “water mass” in the atmosphere.
I’m sure the shape of the SAB plays into it a bit, but when you’re talking about upper-atmosphere stuff, you’re diving into a big discussion about systems and system dynamic interactions. There are probably 100 different variables that shift it one way or the other, and the SAB plays a bit of a role I’m sure, but nothing too significant.
Unfortunately I’m a lowly geologist and not a physicist so that’s all I got.
ETA: I’m no longer arse deep in a generator. We have that Cummins C150 purring like a champ again
This post was edited on 9/9/18 at 7:04 pm
Posted on 9/9/18 at 7:01 pm to Duke
6 pm GFS is a nightmare. Stalling basically on the shoreline for 3 days
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